1 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction & result

Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Referee: Adam Ladeback
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Vasteras SK FK 1-0 IF Brommapojkarna.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Vasteras SK FK, 26% draw, 30% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vasteras SK FK at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vasteras SK FK96%Draw4%IF Brommapojkarna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Frédéric Nsabiyumvaout: Jack Tagesson
45'
🔁Abdelrahman Saidiout: Bonaventure Lendambi
57'
🔁Ismet Lushakuout: Jonathan Ring
57'
61'
Andreas Troelsen
74'
🔁Anton Kurochkinout: Obilor Okeke
74'
🔁Kaare Barslundout: Lukas Björklund
⚽jens magnussonassist: Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
77'
🔁jonathan karlssonout: Marcus Baggesen
78'
84'
🔁Oliver Bergout: David Isso
84'
🔁Mads Hansenout: bidemi amole
84'
🔁Rasmus Örqvistout: Rasmus Bergvall
Bonaventure Lendambi
88'

Match stats — Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna

55%Possession45%
17Shots17
4On target7
5Corners8
1.21xG1.41

Goals against chances

Vasteras SK FK1 from 1.21 xGabout what the chances were worth
IF Brommapojkarna0 from 1.41 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
  • 1A. FagerströmG
  • 4P. BondeD
  • 18F. NsabiyumvaD
  • 2H. MagnussonD
  • 11S. GefvertM
  • 8M. DiagneM
  • 14I. LushakuM
  • 15J. KarlssonM
  • 19J. MagnussonF
  • 17A. TaonsaF
  • 7A. BoudahF
Substitutes
  • 23P. AmoranD
  • 3M. BaggesenD
  • 25André BernardiniG
  • 5K. GunnarssonM
  • 30M. HellisdalM
  • 16Bonaventure LendambiF
  • 10J. RingF
  • 24J. TagessonD
  • 21V. WernerssonD
Coach: Alexander Rubin
IF Brommapojkarna 4-4-2
  • 25D. BlaževićG
  • 4O. CottonD
  • 23J. SimpsonD
  • 3A. TroelsenD
  • 6O. ZandénD
  • 11R. ÖrqvistM
  • 27K. BarslundM
  • 20W. OdefalkM
  • 17A. KurochkinM
  • 9M. HansenF
  • 10O. BergF
Substitutes
  • 2P. VagićD
  • 7O. OkekeM
  • 34David IssoF
  • 24W. DerbaliM
  • 1L. CavalliusG
  • 30L. BjörklundM
  • 22R. BergvallD
  • 35Carl AurellF
  • 12B. AmoleF
Coach: U. Kristiansson

Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna

Vasteras SK FK

Allsvenskan

  • W3-0away to Degerfors IF28 October 2026
  • L1-2Halmstad23 October 2026
  • W1-0Mjallby AIF18 October 2026

IF Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan

  • D0-0BK Hacken28 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Kalmar FF24 October 2026
  • L0-2Djurgardens IF16 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Vasteras SK FK2813694038+245
11IF Brommapojkarna2898113944-535

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna

  • 26 April 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
  • 22 March 2026IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 November 2025Vasteras SK FK 2–5 IF BrommapojkarnaFriendlies Clubs
  • 9 October 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–4 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs
  • 30 September 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
  • 26 May 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna

Vasteras SK FK

GoalsAssists

  • A. Taonsa102
  • M. Ladefoged92

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vasteras SK FK beat IF Brommapojkarna 1–0. The model had made a win for Vasteras SK FK its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: jens magnusson 77' for Vasteras SK FK. On expected goals it finished 1.21–1.41.

How the call on Vasteras SK FK v IF Brommapojkarna has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 47% / 25% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is Vasteras SK FK's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Vasteras SK FK win44%▼ −3
  2. Draw26%▲ +1
  3. IF Brommapojkarna win30%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.