3 November 2026, 20:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 0-0 Lille.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Bodo/Glimt, 26% draw, 25% Lille — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bodo/Glimt5%Draw92%Lille3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Andreas Helmersenout: Ola Brynhildsen
70'
70'
🔁Maurits Kjaergaardout: Olivier Giroud
Kjetil Knutsen
76'
🔁Sondre Auklendout: Ulrik Saltnes
81'
81'
🔁Soriba Diaouneout: Osame Sahraoui
83'
Nathan Ngoy
86'
🔁Dilane Bakwaout: Gaëtan Perrin
🔁Haitam Aleesamiout: Jostein Gundersen
88'

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Lille

51%Possession49%
4Shots9
4On target2
3Corners4
0.54xG0.6

Goals against chances

Bodo/Glimt0 from 0.54 xGless than the chances were worth
Lille0 from 0.60 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjøvoldD
  • 4O. BjørtuftD
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 15F. BjørkanD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 11O. Didrik BlombergF
  • 9A. HelmersenF
  • 10J. HaugeF
Substitutes
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 1J. Faye LundG
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 23M. RiisnæsM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
Coach: K. Knutsen
Lille 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. ÖzerG
  • 3N. NgoyD
  • 23T. NianzouD
  • 26I. CossierD
  • 24C. VerdonkD
  • 21B. AndréM
  • 14M. KjærgaardM
  • 7D. BakwaM
  • 17N. MukauM
  • 35S. DiaouneM
  • 10H. HaraldssonF
Substitutes
  • 9O. GiroudF
  • 38M. GoffiD
  • 40Zadig LanssadeG
  • 28G. PerrinF
  • 11O. SahraouiF
  • 2L. SrdanovicD
  • 43Yéli TraoréF
  • 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
  • 12O. GillG
Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Lille

Bodo/Glimt

UEFA Champions League

  • L3-4away to Napoli20 October 2026
  • W1-0Borussia Dortmund14 October 2026
  • L0-5away to Bayern München10 September 2026

Lille

UEFA Champions League

  • L2-4Galatasaray21 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Arsenal13 October 2026
  • L2-3Real Betis8 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
25Bodo/Glimt411249-54
35Lille4013410-61

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt and Lille drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Bodo/Glimt at 49% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.54–0.60.

How the call on Bodo/Glimt v Lille has moved

First published on 20 Oct at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Bodo/Glimt's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Bodo/Glimt win49%▲ +8
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Lille win25%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.