Feyenoord vs Inter UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Feyenoord 0-3 Inter.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Feyenoord, 23% draw, 48% Inter — fair odds of 3.45, 4.35 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Inter at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Feyenoord vs Inter
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. ErnstG
- 26G. ReadD
- 24T. KraaijeveldD
- 35Mika MàrmolD
- 16Javi LópezD
- 8G. ZechiëlM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 10L. ValenteF
- 57J. SchakenF
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 4T. WatanabeD
- 49S. van PersieF
- 65Dani SloryD
- 14S. SteijnM
- 11Gonçalo BorgesF
- 39L. BossinG
- 20M. DeijlD
- 1Josep MartínezG
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 99D. SpenceM
- 23N. BarellaM
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 94F. EspositoF
- 9M. ThuramF
- 46L. BovioD
- 14A. BonnyF
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 17A. DioufM
- 53M. LavelliF
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 48M. MosconiF
- 28B. PavardD
- 49I. ProvedelG
Form going into Feyenoord vs Inter
Feyenoord
UEFA Champions League
- L0-1away to Real Betis21 October 2026
- W3-2Como14 October 2026
- L1-5away to Barcelona9 September 2026
Inter
UEFA Champions League
- W1-0Shakhtar Donetsk21 October 2026
- L3-4Club Brugge KV13 October 2026
- L1-2away to Real Madrid8 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Feyenoord vs Inter
- 11 March 2025Inter 2–1 FeyenoordUEFA Champions League
- 5 March 2025Feyenoord 0–2 InterUEFA Champions League
The result against the call
Inter won 3–0 at Feyenoord. The model had made a win for Inter its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Yann Bisseck 8' for Inter, Pio Esposito 34' for Inter, Piotr Zieliński 54' for Inter. On expected goals it finished 0.75–0.94.
How the call on Feyenoord v Inter has moved
First published on 20 Oct at 35% / 23% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 29% / 23% / 48%: the biggest move is Feyenoord's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Feyenoord win29%▼ −6
- Draw23%=
- Inter win48%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.