3 November 2026, 17:45 UTC

Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Rams Park, Istanbul
Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Galatasaray 2-0 VfB Stuttgart.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Galatasaray, 25% draw, 31% VfB Stuttgart — fair odds of 2.27, 4.00 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Galatasaray at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Galatasaray99%Draw1%VfB Stuttgart0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
Atakan Karazor
⚽Aleksey Batrakov
12'
⚽Aleksey Batrakovassist: Davinson Sánchez
15'
18'
🔁Atakan Karazorout: Yanik Spalt
38'
Deniz Undav
Baris Alper Yilmaz
39'
45+3'
Yanik Spalt
61'
Grischa Prömel
Roland Sallai
62'
🔁Baris Alper Yilmazout: Rafael Leão
68'
🔁Roland Sallaiout: Wilfried Singo
68'
74'
🔁Ermedin Demirovićout: Dženan Pejčinović
74'
🔁Grischa Prömelout: Nikolas Nartey
75'
🔁Jamie Lewelingout: Lorenz Assignon
🔁Aleksey Batrakovout: Leroy Sané
77'
🔁Ismail Jakobsout: Eren Elmalı
77'
79'
Ramon Hendriks
82'
🔁Chris Führichout: Tiago Tomás
🔁Mario Leminaout: Gabriel
83'
Lucas Torreira
85'

Match stats — Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart

52%Possession48%
13Shots13
4On target5
6Corners4
1.1xG1.83

Goals against chances

Galatasaray2 from 1.10 xGmore than the chances were worth
VfB Stuttgart0 from 1.83 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
  • 1U. ÇakırG
  • 7R. SallaiD
  • 6D. SánchezD
  • 42A. BardakcıD
  • 4I. JakobsD
  • 34L. TorreiraM
  • 99M. LeminaM
  • 11Y. AkgünM
  • 83A. BatrakovM
  • 53B. YılmazM
  • 45V. OsimhenF
Substitutes
  • 3E. BitshiabuD
  • 19G. GüvençG
  • 27Rafael LeãoF
  • 74Renato NhagaM
  • 10L. SanéF
  • 90W. SingoD
  • 18L. UgochukwuM
  • 24J. YılmazG
  • 21D. GülF
Coach: O. Buruk
VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2
  • 1F. BredlowG
  • 3R. HendriksD
  • 24J. ChabotD
  • 7M. MittelstädtD
  • 18J. LewelingM
  • 21G. PrömelM
  • 16A. KarazorM
  • 10C. FührichM
  • 11B. El KhannoussM
  • 26D. UndavF
  • 9E. DemirovićF
Substitutes
  • 8Tiago TomásF
  • 47Y. SpaltD
  • 41D. SeimenG
  • 17D. PejčinovićF
  • 28N. NarteyM
  • 43Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento MalangaM
  • 29Finn JeltschD
  • 14L. JaquezD
  • 33M. FunkG
Coach: S. Hoeneb

Form going into Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart

Galatasaray

UEFA Champions League

  • W4-2away to Lille21 October 2026
  • L1-4Barcelona13 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Sporting CP9 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart

UEFA Champions League

  • D1-1Atletico Madrid20 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Slovan Bratislava14 October 2026
  • W3-1Viking9 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Galatasaray420289-16
14VfB Stuttgart421174+37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Galatasaray and VfB Stuttgart

Galatasaray

GoalsAssists

  • A. Batrakov40

VfB Stuttgart

GoalsAssists

  • E. Demirović40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Galatasaray beat VfB Stuttgart 2–0. The model had made a win for Galatasaray its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Aleksey Batrakov 12' for Galatasaray, Aleksey Batrakov 15' for Galatasaray. On expected goals it finished 1.10–1.83.

How the call on Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart has moved

First published on 20 Oct at 49% / 23% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 44% / 25% / 31%: the biggest move is Galatasaray's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Galatasaray win44%▼ −5
  2. Draw25%▲ +2
  3. VfB Stuttgart win31%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.