Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Lask Linz 4-0 Slovan Bratislava.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Lask Linz, 24% draw, 21% Slovan Bratislava — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lask Linz at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. JungwirthG
- 4X. MbuyambaD
- 43AlemãoD
- 16A. AndradeD
- 20K. JørgensenM
- 10R. LjubičićM
- 6M. BogardeM
- 30S. HorvathM
- 25Y. DibangoM
- 8M. UsorF
- 7S. AdeniranF
- 23Daniel ElfadliM
- 29F. FleckerF
- 9K. DaněkM
- 3M. FreckletonD
- 11S. KalajdzicF
- 45N. KaneF
- 27C. LangM
- 50Fabian SchillingerG
- 18A. SchöpfM
- 1A. PopovićG
- 49S. CamaraD
- 15S. MarkovićD
- 6K. WimmerD
- 28C. BlackmanM
- 70Cristian Jesús MartínezM
- 20A. MustafićM
- 2S. KozlovskýM
- 29A. MarošM
- 21Suleiman CamaraM
- 99A. ŠporarF
- 57Sandro CruzD
- 8A. GajdošM
- 7L. HofstadterM
- 5R. IbrahimM
- 44M. MacíkG
- 10N. MarcelliM
- 88D. MatsuokaM
- 3P. PokornýM
- 71D. TakáčG
Form going into Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava
Lask Linz
UEFA Champions League
- W3-2away to Sporting CP21 October 2026
- L3-6Liverpool14 October 2026
- L0-1away to AEK Athens FC8 September 2026
Slovan Bratislava
UEFA Champions League
- L0-4away to AS Roma20 October 2026
- L0-3VfB Stuttgart14 October 2026
- L1-6away to Paris Saint Germain9 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lask Linz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Lask Linz beat Slovan Bratislava 4–0. The model had made a win for Lask Linz its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Kasper Jorgensen 19' for Lask Linz, Kasper Jorgensen 37' for Lask Linz, Robert Ljubicic 44' for Lask Linz, Samuel Adeniran 48' for Lask Linz. On expected goals it finished 4.77–0.53.
How the call on Lask Linz v Slovan Bratislava has moved
First published on 20 Oct at 48% / 24% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 55% / 24% / 21%: the biggest move is Lask Linz's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Lask Linz win55%▲ +7
- Draw24%=
- Slovan Bratislava win21%▼ −7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Lask Linz's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Slovan Bratislava's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.