Botafogo vs Palmeiras Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Botafogo 0-0 Palmeiras.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Botafogo, 27% draw, 32% Palmeiras — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Botafogo at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Botafogo vs Palmeiras
Botafogo
- L0-3away to Flamengo30 August 2026
- L2-3Atletico Paranaense24 August 2026
Palmeiras
- D1-1away to Mirassol30 August 2026
- W4-1Vasco da Gama23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Fluminense15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 35 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Botafogo and Palmeiras
Botafogo
- Danilo Santos7 goals2 assists
- Arthur Cabral7 goals1 assists
Palmeiras
- J. López8 goals4 assists
- Maurício7 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.