Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis City.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Vancouver Whitecaps, 30% draw, 27% St. Louis City — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
- W3-0away to Sporting Kansas City30 August 2026
- W5-0FC Dallas23 August 2026
St. Louis City
- D3-3FC Dallas30 August 2026
- W2-1Houston Dynamo23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | +30 | 46 |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 35 | +7 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
- B. White15 goals2 assists
St. Louis City
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 42 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.