Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Portland Timbers 5-4 Minnesota United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Portland Timbers, 28% draw, 33% Minnesota United FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Portland Timbers at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
- L1-2Austin30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Los Angeles FC23 August 2026
Minnesota United FC
- D3-3Orlando City SC30 August 2026
- W5-1away to San Jose Earthquakes23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.
Minnesota United FC
- K. Yeboah13 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.