Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Brann 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 71% Brann, 18% draw, 11% Lincoln Red Imps FC — fair odds of 1.41, 5.56 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Brann at 71%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12S. NilsenG
- 23T. PedersenD
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 21N. KasanwirjoD
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 10K. M. IngasonM
- 18J. SorensenM
- 19E. GudmundssonM
- 25N. WassbergF
- 22S. MagnussonF
- 9N. CastroF
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 36H. M. HellesoyG
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 2L. CornicD
- 15J. TorsvikD
- 41A. WilhelmsenD
- 16K. EriksenM
- 43B. HaugenM
- 11B. FinneF
- 13J. HankinsG
- 66J. EerstelingD
- 5T. Cardozo
- 23JoeD
- 3C. RutjensD
- 21NanoD
- 18T. GarciaM
- 22G. TorrillaM
- 8MandiM
- 9K. GomezF
- 11A. Romero MorilloF
- 1Nauzet SantanaG
- 27M. HammG
- 2E. JolleyD
- 20E. BrittoD
- 6B. LopesD
- 19Y. Flalhi IdrissiF
- 32F. AlvarezM
- 4N. Pinto
- 7L. CasciaroF
Form going into Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC
Brann
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Viking9 October 2026
- W2-1Bodo/Glimt20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Start13 September 2026
- L1-2Lillestrom5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sandefjord30 August 2026
Lincoln Red Imps FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Larne27 August 2026
- L0-2Larne20 August 2026
- L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia13 August 2026
- D1-1Omonia Nicosia6 August 2026
- D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
What these results say
- Brann failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brann conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lincoln Red Imps FC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Brann and Lincoln Red Imps FC
Brann
GoalsAssists
- N. Holm30
Lincoln Red Imps FC
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brann beat Lincoln Red Imps FC 2–1. The model had made a win for Brann its most likely outcome, at 71%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: K. Gomez 59' for Lincoln Red Imps FC, N. Castro 64' for Brann, N. Castro 81' for Brann. Sent off: Neraysho Kasanwirjo (Brann) 23', Gabri Garcia (Lincoln Red Imps FC) 61'. On expected goals it finished 2.13–0.39.
How the call on Brann v Lincoln Red Imps FC has moved
First published on 1 Oct at 61% / 23% / 16% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 71% / 18% / 11%: the biggest move is Brann's chance of winning, up 10 points.
- Brann win71%▲ +10
- Draw18%▼ −5
- Lincoln Red Imps FC win11%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Brann's most recent league matches and Lincoln Red Imps FC's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.