2 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Bravo vs Koper 1. SNL prediction & result

Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Referee: D. Smajc
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Bravo 1-2 Koper.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Bravo, 28% draw, 40% Koper — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Koper at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bravo0%Draw4%Koper96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

L. Stravs
20'
39'
🔁I. Matondoout: B. Ndiaye
46'
🔁D. Pejicicout: F. Tomek
53'
⚽L. Gucekassist: J. Ilicic
🔁A. Jakupovicout: M. Tucic
54'
60'
A. Roncal
J. Arinze
60'
⚽M. Tucicassist: J. Arinze
64'
70'
⚽B. Iraborassist: G. Agyemang
71'
🔁J. Ilicicout: N. Simon
72'
🔁K. Manseriout: L. Oluwaseun
🔁O. Mazieout: M. Malensek
72'
75'
F. Tomek
N. Kouassi
77'
83'
B. Ndiaye
🔁G. Jovanout: R. Kopatin
86'
88'
🔁B. Iraborout: F. Hartherz
M. Malensek
90+3'

Form going into Bravo vs Koper

Bravo

1. SNL

  • D0-0away to Brinje-Grosuplje29 October 2026
  • D2-2Radomlje17 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Nafta11 October 2026

Koper

1. SNL

  • W4-0Maribor27 October 2026
  • W5-0Brinje-Grosuplje18 October 2026
  • D3-3away to Radomlje10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Bravo156541716+123
1Koper158522613+1329

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bravo vs Koper

  • 16 August 2026Koper 0–0 Bravo1. SNL
  • 4 April 2026Bravo 1–1 Koper1. SNL
  • 31 January 2026Koper 6–2 Bravo1. SNL
  • 28 September 2025Bravo 4–2 Koper1. SNL
  • 20 July 2025Koper 2–1 Bravo1. SNL
  • 23 April 2025Koper 3–0 BravoCup

The result against the call

Koper won 2–1 at Bravo. The model had made a win for Koper its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: L. Gucek 53' for Koper, M. Tucic 64' for Bravo, B. Irabor 70' for Koper.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bravo a 30.4% chance to finish in the top four: 37.3% after a win, 28.8% after a draw, 24.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.8%, 5.6 points lower than before the match.

For Koper the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 44.0% going in: 51.5% after a win, 40.5% after a draw, 36.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.5%, 7.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Bravo v Koper has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 32% / 28% / 40%: the biggest move is Bravo's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Bravo win32%▼ −3
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Koper win40%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.