17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Bravo vs Radomlje 1. SNL prediction & result

Stadion Stozice, Ljubljana
Referee: M. Antic
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Bravo 2-2 Radomlje.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Bravo, 23% draw, 19% Radomlje — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bravo at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bravo6%Draw91%Radomlje3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽V. Pelko
⚽A. Jakupovicassist: J. Arinze
15'
24'
A. Zabukovnik
M. Nzuzi
40'
46'
🔁A. Zabukovnikout: D. Kantuzer
46'
🔁D. Mazrekuout: J. Balic
🔁A. Jakupovicout: M. Tucic
63'
68'
🔁V. Pelkoout: S. Bangura
J. Brunnhofer
71'
🔁O. Mazieout: M. Malensek
72'
⚽M. Malensekassist: G. Jovan
74'
78'
⚽B. Graonicassist: J. Martincic
84'
🔁N. Marinsekout: A. Goljevscek
M. Malensek
87'
🔁J. Arinzeout: A. Pecar
90'
90'
🔁J. Martincicout: J. Jelen
90+2'
M. Zaper

Line-ups

Bravo
  • 77M. Rozman
  • 68M. Nzuzi
  • 4J. Brunnhofer
  • 21L. Stravs
  • 5I. Halilou
  • 24G. Jovan
  • 7D. Omoregie
  • 8S. Nuhanovic
  • 17J. Arinze
  • 11O. Mazie
  • 9A. Jakupovic
Substitutes
  • 22B. Maticic
  • 95M. Fogec
  • 2R. Parra
  • 20N. Kouassi
  • 35R. Kopatin
  • 33M. Tucic
  • 40M. Malensek
  • 75A. Pecar
Coach: Ales Arnol
Radomlje
  • 1S. Pridgar
  • 87B. Graonic
  • 4B. Anzelj
  • 22A. Paic
  • 2A. Bosec
  • 41M. Zaper
  • 10N. Marinsek
  • 15A. Zabukovnik
  • 11J. Martincic
  • 72D. Mazreku
  • 9V. Pelko
Substitutes
  • 13N. Dermastija
  • 73D. Churakov
  • 40N. Skomina
  • 14L. Veber
  • 16D. Buvac
  • 33T. Puc
  • 66D. Kantuzer
  • 8J. Jelen
  • 23J. Balic
Coach: Radostin Aleksandrov

Form going into Bravo vs Radomlje

Bravo

1. SNL

  • L0-1away to Nafta11 October 2026

Radomlje

1. SNL

  • D3-3Koper10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Bravo156541716+123
10Radomlje141581631-158

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bravo vs Radomlje

  • 2 August 2026Radomlje 1–2 Bravo1. SNL
  • 9 May 2026Bravo 2–1 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 9 March 2026Radomlje 1–3 Bravo1. SNL
  • 24 November 2025Bravo 0–4 Radomlje1. SNL
  • 30 August 2025Radomlje 0–6 Bravo1. SNL

The result against the call

Bravo and Radomlje drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Bravo at 58% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: V. Pelko 8' for Radomlje, A. Jakupovic 15' for Bravo, M. Malensek 74' for Bravo, B. Graonic 78' for Radomlje.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bravo a 44.3% chance to finish in the top four: 47.5% after a win, 39.5% after a draw, 37.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 39.5%, 4.8 points lower than before the match.

For Radomlje the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 88.7% going in: 84.5% after a win, 88.2% after a draw, 90.7% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 88.2%, 0.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Bravo v Radomlje has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 54% / 25% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 58% / 23% / 19%: the biggest move is Bravo's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Bravo win58%▲ +4
  2. Draw23%▼ −2
  3. Radomlje win19%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.