18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje 1. SNL prediction & result

Bonifika, Koper
Referee: D. Smajc
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Koper 5-0 Brinje-Grosuplje.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Koper, 22% draw, 18% Brinje-Grosuplje — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Koper at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Koper99%Draw1%Brinje-Grosuplje0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Ilicicassist: K. Manseri
4'
⚽I. Matondoassist: K. Manseri
9'
B. Negouai
21'
42'
🔁Z. Meskoout: V. Vlahovic
42'
🔁J. Kurticout: G. Kurez
🔁D. Bangalyout: L. Stulac
46'
A. Roncal
47'
⚽B. Ndiayeassist: D. Pejicic
47'
⚽F. Backuljaassist: J. Ilicic
50'
52'
🔁N. Jovicevicout: J. Kovac
52'
🔁H. Vuckicout: N. Koren
🔁J. Ilicicout: N. Simon
61'
🔁D. Pejicicout: C. Diakite
61'
🔁B. Ndiayeout: B. Irabor
61'
73'
N. Koren
74'
🔁A. Kurtovicout: A. Zlatkov
🔁I. Matondoout: B. Adrovic
77'
78'
T. Levanic
⚽B. Irabor (pen)assist: B. Irabor
79'
⚽B. Iraborassist: N. Simon
84'
90+1'
D. Ivkic

Line-ups

Koper
  • 1L. Bas
  • 47A. Roncal
  • 69B. Negouai
  • 5F. Backulja
  • 18G. Agyemang
  • 25D. Bangaly
  • 45I. Matondo
  • 72J. Ilicic
  • 79D. Pejicic
  • 99K. Manseri
  • 8B. Ndiaye
Substitutes
  • 90E. Piana
  • 16B. P. Kerma
  • 33A. Marinic
  • 29L. Gucek
  • 86S. Surdanovic
  • 4L. Stulac
  • 22C. Diakite
  • 26B. Adrovic
  • 11N. Simon
Coach: Milan Andjelkovic
Brinje-Grosuplje
  • 25J. Zrnec
  • 49A. Kurtovic
  • 72D. Ivkic
  • 28M. Kavcic
  • 24Z. Mesko
  • 17T. Levanic
  • 27J. Kurtic
  • 19S. Matjaz
  • 10N. Jovicevic
  • 2K. Benkic
  • 9H. Vuckic
Substitutes
  • 1T. Strasberger
  • 5A. Zlatkov
  • 7V. Hojc
  • 11N. Zrnec
  • 14J. Kovac
  • 21E. Milosevic
  • 22N. Koren
  • 30R. Young
  • 37G. Kurez
Coach: Goran Markovic

Form going into Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje

Koper

1. SNL

  • D3-3away to Radomlje10 October 2026

Brinje-Grosuplje

1. SNL

  • L1-2Maribor11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Koper158522613+1329
8Brinje-Grosuplje154471625-916

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Koper vs Brinje-Grosuplje

  • 2 August 2026Brinje-Grosuplje 1–1 Koper1. SNL
  • 27 June 2024Koper 4–3 Brinje-GrosupljeFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Koper beat Brinje-Grosuplje 5–0. The model had made a win for Koper its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: J. Ilicic 4' for Koper, I. Matondo 9' for Koper, B. Ndiaye 47' for Koper, F. Backulja 50' for Koper, B. Irabor 84' for Koper. Sent off: D. Ivkic (Brinje-Grosuplje) 90+1'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Koper a 74.3% chance to finish in the top four: 77.8% after a win, 71.4% after a draw, 65.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.8%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

For Brinje-Grosuplje the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 65.6% going in: 54.9% after a win, 65.0% after a draw, 68.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 68.3%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Koper v Brinje-Grosuplje has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 54% / 26% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 60% / 22% / 18%: the biggest move is Koper's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Koper win60%▲ +6
  2. Draw22%▼ −4
  3. Brinje-Grosuplje win18%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.