24 October 2026, 18:30 UTC

BSC Young Boys vs FC St. Gallen Super League prediction & result

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Referee: Lukas Fahndrich, Switzerland
Full time2 – 0

Final score: BSC Young Boys 2-0 FC St. Gallen.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% BSC Young Boys, 21% draw, 23% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 1.79, 4.76 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BSC Young Boys at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

BSC Young Boys99%Draw1%FC St. Gallen0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Samuel Essendeassist: Edimilson Fernandes
59'
60'
🔁Aliou Baldeout: Nevio Scherrer
60'
🔁Carlo Boukhalfaout: Chima Okoroji
⚽Bahereba Guirassyassist: Moritz Jenz
64'
🔁Christian Fassnachtout: Mamadou Kaly·Sene
73'
🔁Bahereba Guirassyout: Alan Virginius
73'
Moritz Jenz
76'
•Edimilson Fernandes
78'
Edimilson Fernandes
78'
80'
🔁Jozo Stanićout: Betim Fazliji
🔁Alvyn Sanchesout: Sandro Lauper
81'
85'
🔁Hugo Vandermerschout: Leon Frokaj
🔁Samuel Essendeout: Gregory Wüthrich
89'
🔁Isaac Schmidtout: Saidy Janko
89'
90'
Leon Frokaj

Match stats — BSC Young Boys vs FC St. Gallen

57%Possession43%
18Shots10
4On target3
8Corners3
1.94xG1.18

Goals against chances

BSC Young Boys2 from 1.94 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC St. Gallen0 from 1.18 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BSC Young Boys 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. KellerG
  • 22I. SchmidtD
  • 4M. JenzD
  • 15C. ZesigerD
  • 33S. BukinacD
  • 8A. GigovićM
  • 6E. FernandesM
  • 16C. FassnachtM
  • 10A. SanchesM
  • 12Bahereba GuirassyM
  • 99S. EssendeF
Substitutes
  • 31F. ConteF
  • 34E. EtoskiM
  • 17S. JankoD
  • 30S. LauperM
  • 18J. MallG
  • 13D. PechM
  • 9K. SèneF
  • 7A. VirginiusF
  • 5G. WüthrichD
Coach: G. Seoane
FC St. Gallen 3-1-4-2
  • 1L. ZigiG
  • 26T. GaalD
  • 4J. StanićD
  • 68M. HeydariD
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 16L. GörtlerM
  • 11C. BoukhalfaM
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 9A. HunzikerF
  • 14A. BaldeF
Substitutes
  • 70N. ScherrerF
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 36C. OkorojiD
  • 63C. KonietzkeM
  • 3C. Kleine-BekelD
  • 20L. FrokajM
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 27K. CsobothM
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
Coach: E. Maaßen

Form going into BSC Young Boys vs FC St. Gallen

BSC Young Boys

Super League

  • W2-0away to Grasshoppers11 October 2026
  • W3-2Servette FC19 September 2026

FC St. Gallen

Super League

  • W1-0Lausanne11 October 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Basel 189320 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2BSC Young Boys138414125+1628
4FC St. Gallen137152422+222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BSC Young Boys vs FC St. Gallen

  • 26 April 2026BSC Young Boys 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 11 February 2026FC St. Gallen 2–1 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 9 November 2025FC St. Gallen 1–4 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 19 October 2025BSC Young Boys 1–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 29 March 2025BSC Young Boys 1–0 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 1 December 2024BSC Young Boys 3–1 FC St. GallenSuper League

Leading scorers: BSC Young Boys and FC St. Gallen

BSC Young Boys

GoalsAssists

  • S. Essende153
  • C. Fassnacht61
  • A. Sanches44

FC St. Gallen

GoalsAssists

  • L. Görtler42
  • A. Hunziker40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

BSC Young Boys beat FC St. Gallen 2–0. The model had made a win for BSC Young Boys its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Samuel Essende 59' for BSC Young Boys, Bahereba Guirassy 64' for BSC Young Boys. Sent off: Edimilson Fernandes (BSC Young Boys) 78'. On expected goals it finished 1.94–1.18.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave BSC Young Boys a 9.3% chance to finish top of the regular season: 11.2% after a win, 6.1% after a draw, 4.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 11.2%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

For FC St. Gallen the question was the chance to finish in the top six: 84.3% after a win, 76.0% after a draw, 70.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 70.0%.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.