24 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Servette FC vs FC Vaduz Super League prediction & result

Geneva
Referee: L. Cibelli
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Servette FC 2-1 FC Vaduz.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Servette FC, 24% draw, 30% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Servette FC at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Servette FC96%Draw4%FC Vaduz0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Houboulang Mendes
12'
⚽Thomas Lopesassist: Steve Rouiller
15'
Steve Rouiller
24'
Pedrinho
25'
34'
🔁Luca Mackout: Mattia walker
37'
Milos Cocic
50'
Julian Stark
60'
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Dejan Djokic
61'
Nicolas Hasler
🔁Jarell Simoout: David Douline
70'
🔁Mathis Lambourdeout: Tiemoko Ouattara
70'
73'
🔁Marcel Monsbergerout: Daniel Kasper
73'
🔁Nicolas Haslerout: mischa beeli
73'
🔁Julian Starkout: Mischa Eberhard
77'
⚽Lutfi Dalipiassist: Dejan Djokic
🔁Thomas Lopesout: Lilian Njoh
78'
⚽Kingstone Mutandwaassist: Houboulang Mendes
85'
🔁Jesper Karlssonout: Teo Allix
90'

Match stats — Servette FC vs FC Vaduz

65%Possession66%
27Shots6
12On target3
6Corners6
2.12xG0.28

Goals against chances

Servette FC2 from 2.12 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Vaduz1 from 0.28 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Servette FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. GertmonasG
  • 17Houboulang MendesD
  • 4S. RouillerD
  • 15M. BurchD
  • 18B. MazikouD
  • 6Pedro NaressiM
  • 20Jarell Njike SimoM
  • 22M. LambourdeM
  • 36Thomas LopesM
  • 21J. KarlssonM
  • 7K. MutandwaF
Substitutes
  • 34T. AllixD
  • 78L. BessonG
  • 28D. DoulineM
  • 23Q. MaceirasD
  • 90S. MrázF
  • 14L. NjohD
  • 77T. OuattaraF
  • 35A. VincentM
  • 39Eronis HaxhiuM
Coach: J. Gourvennec
FC Vaduz 4-1-2-1-2
  • 25L. SchaffranG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 27N. LangD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. SchwizerD
  • 20L. MackM
  • 17J. StarkM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 28M. ĆoćićM
  • 11L. DalipiF
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 37L. CelentanoD
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 22M. EberhardM
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 18D. KasperF
  • 29M. SawadogoD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 14M. BeeliD
Coach: M. Schneider

Form going into Servette FC vs FC Vaduz

Servette FC

Super League

  • W3-0FC Sion10 October 2026
  • L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026

FC Vaduz

Super League

  • W3-0FC Basel 189311 October 2026
  • L1-2FC Thun20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Servette FC135261716+117
11FC Vaduz133192429-510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Vaduz

  • 15 May 2021FC Vaduz 1–3 Servette FCSuper League
  • 21 March 2021Servette FC 1–2 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 23 December 2020Servette FC 1–1 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 9 December 2020FC Vaduz 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
  • 23 May 2019FC Vaduz 1–5 Servette FCChallenge League
  • 2 February 2019Servette FC 2–0 FC VaduzChallenge League

Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Vaduz

Servette FC

GoalsAssists

  • K. Mutandwa50

FC Vaduz

GoalsAssists

  • M. Monsberger61
  • L. Dalipi59
  • Juan Cabrera50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Servette FC beat FC Vaduz 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Servette FC at 46%. The goals: Thomas Lopes 15' for Servette FC, Lutfi Dalipi 77' for FC Vaduz, Kingstone Mutandwa 85' for Servette FC. On expected goals it finished 2.12–0.28.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Servette FC a 66.6% chance to finish in the top six: 76.3% after a win, 63.2% after a draw, 54.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 76.3%, 9.7 points higher than before the match.

For FC Vaduz the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 33.5% going in: 46.9% after a win, 31.6% after a draw, 24.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.9%, 8.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.