1 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Full time3 – 5

Final score: BSC Young Boys 3-5 FC Zurich.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% BSC Young Boys, 17% draw, 15% FC Zurich — fair odds of 1.47, 5.88 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

BSC Young Boys at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

BSC Young Boys0%Draw9%FC Zurich91%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
•Doron Lichtenstein
12'
⚽Philippe Paulin Keny (pen)
⚽Samuel Essendeassist: Lewin Blum
22'
25'
⚽Umeh Emmanuelassist: Alexander Hack
⚽Samuel Essendeassist: Bahereba Guirassy
29'
35'
Philippe Paulin Keny
Cedric Zesiger
35'
37'
Leandro Schödler
⚽Alvyn Sanchesassist: Mamadou Kaly·Sene
40'
🔁Bahereba Guirassyout: Alan Virginius
59'
🔁Dominik Pechout: Sandro Lauper
59'
🔁Mamadou Kaly·Seneout: Christian Fassnacht
59'
60'
⚽Livano Comenenciaassist: Doron Lichtenstein
🔁Isaac Schmidtout: stefan bukinac
71'
Lewin Blum
73'
🔁Alvyn Sanchesout: Edin Etoski
76'
79'
🔁Kevin Spadanudaout: Selmin Hodza
82'
⚽Selmin Hodza
90+2'
🔁Livano Comenenciaout: Mohamed Bangoura
90+2'
⚽Umeh Emmanuelassist: Selmin Hodza
90+2'
Umeh Emmanuel

Match stats — BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

51%Possession49%
16Shots16
7On target10
8Corners6
2.1xG2.79

Goals against chances

BSC Young Boys3 from 2.10 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Zurich5 from 2.79 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

BSC Young Boys 4-4-2
  • 1M. KellerG
  • 27L. BlumD
  • 4M. JenzD
  • 15C. ZesigerD
  • 22I. SchmidtD
  • 10A. SanchesM
  • 8A. GigovićM
  • 13D. PechM
  • 12Bahereba GuirassyM
  • 9K. SèneF
  • 99S. EssendeF
Substitutes
  • 16C. FassnachtM
  • 34E. EtoskiM
  • 31F. ConteF
  • 33S. BukinacD
  • 17S. JankoD
  • 30S. LauperM
  • 18J. MallG
  • 7A. VirginiusF
  • 5G. WüthrichD
Coach: G. Seoane
FC Zurich 4-1-4-1
  • 1Silas HuberG
  • 47Doron LichtensteinD
  • 2L. KamberiD
  • 42A. HackD
  • 44S. WalkerD
  • 21L. SchodlerM
  • 17K. SpadanudaM
  • 8L. ComenenciaM
  • 38M. ReichmuthM
  • 11U. EmmanuelM
  • 19P. KenyF
Substitutes
  • 43N. VolkenD
  • 18M. BangouraM
  • 14N. Di GiustoM
  • 39S. DiawaraF
  • 28Mario GrecoF
  • 3S. HodžaD
  • 48D. IhenduD
  • 13H. LindnerG
  • 49D. RamićF
Coach: M. Koller

Form going into BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

BSC Young Boys

Super League

  • W2-0FC St. Gallen24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Grasshoppers11 October 2026
  • W3-2Servette FC19 September 2026

FC Zurich

Super League

  • W2-1FC Luzern24 October 2026
  • W4-2FC Thun10 October 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Sion19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2BSC Young Boys138414125+1628
5FC Zurich136342526-121

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich

  • 1 September 2026FC Zurich 2–4 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 1 March 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 1 February 2026BSC Young Boys 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 26 October 2025FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysSuper League
  • 21 April 2025BSC Young Boys 2–1 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 27 February 2025FC Zurich 2–3 BSC Young BoysSchweizer Cup

Leading scorers: BSC Young Boys and FC Zurich

BSC Young Boys

GoalsAssists

  • S. Essende153
  • C. Fassnacht61
  • A. Sanches44

FC Zurich

GoalsAssists

  • U. Emmanuel63
  • P. Keny61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Zurich won 5–3 at BSC Young Boys. The model had leaned towards a win for BSC Young Boys at 68% and given a win for FC Zurich 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: Philippe Paulin Keny (penalty) 12' for FC Zurich, Samuel Essende 22' for BSC Young Boys, Umeh Emmanuel 25' for FC Zurich, Samuel Essende 29' for BSC Young Boys, Alvyn Sanches 40' for BSC Young Boys, Livano Comenencia 60' for FC Zurich, Selmin Hodza 82' for FC Zurich, Umeh Emmanuel 90+2' for FC Zurich. On expected goals it finished 2.10–2.79.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave BSC Young Boys a 9.4% chance to finish top of the regular season: 10.9% after a win, 4.5% after a draw, 4.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 4.7%, 4.7 points lower than before the match.

For FC Zurich the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 52.1% going in: 70.6% after a win, 57.2% after a draw, 48.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 70.6%, 18.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.