Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Bukovyna 0-0 Kryvbas KR.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Bukovyna, 26% draw, 33% Kryvbas KR — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Ukrainian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Bukovyna at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR
Line-ups
- 94H. PenkovG
- 97O. IlyinD
- 5V. PryymakD
- 3M. BezuglyiD
- 24A. BuskoD
- 44V. VitenchukM
- 70M. GayeM
- 20M. ZaderakaM
- 77M. KlepačM
- 11V. DakhnovskyiM
- 21D. KravchukF
- 17F. BabakM
- 10B. BoychukF
- 25V. GrushaM
- 30Danylo KanevtsevG
- 7O. KozhushkoF
- 1A. MatsyukG
- 18E. OdinakaD
- 12Y. PidlepenetsM
- 69E. RomanetsD
- 12O. KemkinG
- 22João MachadoD
- 6D. PidgurskyiD
- 4V. VilivaldD
- 3Jimmy MpanzuD
- 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento BorgesD
- 18B. LinM
- 8Y. ShevchenkoM
- 17R. NawiM
- 21Oleksandr KamenskyiM
- 11Cyprian KachweleF
- 7Y. RivasF
- 24V. MulykF
- 5V. KulbachukD
- 1B. KhomaG
- 15J. JonesD
- 27D. GodyaM
- 10A. HerbertM
- 41Abdulmajeed DanladiG
- 28S. CuizaD
Form going into Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR
Bukovyna
Premier League
- L1-4away to Kudrivka17 October 2026
- D2-2Polessya11 October 2026
Kryvbas KR
Premier League
- L0-3LNZ Cherkasy18 October 2026
- L0-1away to Polessya18 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bukovyna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KR
- 3 June 2015Hirnyk 1–0 BukovynaPersha Liga
- 2 November 2014Bukovyna 0–1 HirnykPersha Liga
The result against the call
Bukovyna and Kryvbas KR drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Bukovyna at 41% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bukovyna a 38.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 29.2% after a win, 40.7% after a draw, 47.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 40.7%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.
For Kryvbas KR the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 33.0% going in: 23.5% after a win, 32.2% after a draw, 39.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 32.2%, 0.8 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.