30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Cagliari vs Inter Serie A prediction & result

Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Cagliari 0-1 Inter.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Cagliari, 28% draw, 37% Inter — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Inter at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cagliari0%Draw5%Inter95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽H. Calhanogluassist: N. Barella
14'
Manuel Akanji
Alessandro Deiola
56'
🔁H. Winksout: R. Kofler
57'
🔁J. Fazziniout: A. Fadera
57'
🔁P. Mendyout: Kevin
57'
65'
🔁H. Calhanogluout: P. Zielinski
65'
🔁P. Sucicout: C. Jones
65'
🔁F. Espositoout: M. Thuram
68'
🔁M. Akanjiout: J. Stones
🔁D. Maldiniout: G. Borrelli
78'
81'
🔁Luis Henriqueout: Y. Bisseck
🔁A. Deiolaout: R. Ciervo
83'
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
88'

Match stats — Cagliari vs Inter

35%Possession65%
10Shots30
0On target7
8Corners6
0.45xG3.8

Goals against chances

Cagliari0 from 0.45 xGabout what the chances were worth
Inter1 from 3.80 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cagliari 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. CaprileG
  • 2J. PedroD
  • 14A. DeiolaD
  • 15J. RodriguezD
  • 33A. ObertD
  • 4A. RomanoM
  • 6H. WinksM
  • 8M. AdopoM
  • 70D. MaldiniM
  • 10J. FazziniM
  • 31P. MendyF
Substitutes
  • 23B. RadunovicG
  • 12A. SherriG
  • 24G. AurelioD
  • 21N. CavuotiM
  • 32I. SulevM
  • 27J. LitetaM
  • 30A. AkarakiriM
  • 17M. FeliciF
  • 22R. KoflerD
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Inter 3-5-2
  • 1J. MartinezG
  • 28B. PavardD
  • 25M. AkanjiD
  • 95A. BastoniD
  • 11Luis HenriqueM
  • 23N. BarellaM
  • 20H. CalhanogluM
  • 8P. SucicM
  • 32F. DimarcoM
  • 10L. MartinezF
  • 94F. EspositoF
Substitutes
  • 49I. ProvedelG
  • 12R. Di GennaroG
  • 6J. StonesD
  • 31Y. BisseckD
  • 7P. ZielinskiM
  • 22H. MkhitaryanM
  • 21C. JonesM
  • 17A. DioufM
  • 5A. StankovicM
Coach: Cristian Chivu

Form going into Cagliari vs Inter

Cagliari

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Parma22 August 2026

Inter

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1Monza22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Cagliari115151015-516
2Inter119112813+1528

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cagliari vs Inter

  • 17 April 2026Inter 3–0 CagliariSerie A
  • 27 September 2025Cagliari 0–2 InterSerie A
  • 12 April 2025Inter 3–1 CagliariSerie A
  • 28 December 2024Cagliari 0–3 InterSerie A
  • 14 April 2024Inter 2–2 CagliariSerie A

The full Cagliari vs Inter record →

Leading scorers: Cagliari and Inter

Cagliari

GoalsAssists

  • D. Maldini50

Inter

GoalsAssists

  • M. Thuram62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Inter won 1–0 at Cagliari. The model had made a win for Inter its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: H. Calhanoglu 9' for Inter. On expected goals it finished 0.45–3.80.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.