Cambuur vs Feyenoord Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Cambuur 2-5 Feyenoord.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Cambuur, 20% draw, 57% Feyenoord — fair odds of 4.35, 5.00 and 1.75. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Feyenoord at 57% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cambuur vs Feyenoord
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Thijs JansenG
- 27Wiebe KooistraD
- 4Ismaël BaoufD
- 6Jamal AmofaD
- 23Lucas JettenD
- 10Rafik El ArguiouiM
- 8Nicky SourenM
- 9Skye VinkM
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 7Sami BouhoudaneF
- 11Ilyes HamacheF
- 28Morgan CostarelliD
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 24Matthijs KalisvaartG
- 21Jasper MeijsterG
- 33Buddy VogelzangD
- 3Jorn BerkhoutD
- 16Rik MuldersD
- 48Damian WesterhofM
- 15Fabian KvamF
- 1Tjark ErnstG
- 26Givairo ReadD
- 4Tsuyoshi WatanabeD
- 6Jeremiah St JusteD
- 35Mika MármolD
- 8Gjivai ZechiëlM
- 34Charles VanhoutteM
- 10Luciano ValenteM
- 23Anis Hadj MoussaF
- 9Ayase UedaF
- 27Gaoussou DiarraF
- 39Liam BossinG
- 16Javi LópezD
- 30Jordan LotombaD
- 20Mats DeijlD
- 22Tobias van den ElshoutM
- 24Thijs KraaijeveldM
- 28Oussama TarghallineM
- 14Sem SteijnM
- 36Jivayno ZinhagelF
Form going into Cambuur vs Feyenoord
Cambuur
- L1-3away to Fortuna Sittard15 August 2026
Feyenoord
- D2-2GO Ahead Eagles16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cambuur vs Feyenoord
- 23 August 2026Cambuur 2–5 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 5 July 2025Cambuur 1–4 FeyenoordFriendlies Clubs
- 16 April 2023Cambuur 0–3 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 10 November 2022Feyenoord 1–0 CambuurEredivisie
- 20 February 2022Feyenoord 3–1 CambuurEredivisie
- 24 October 2021Cambuur 2–3 FeyenoordEredivisie
Leading scorers: Cambuur and Feyenoord
Cambuur
- R. El Arguioui4 goals
- I. Hamache3 goals1 assists
Feyenoord
- G. Zechiël5 goals3 assists
- L. Valente3 goals1 assists
- Nacho Ferri3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.