Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Feyenoord 2-2 ADO Den Haag.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Feyenoord, 26% draw, 21% ADO Den Haag — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Feyenoord at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. ErnstG
- 26G. ReadD
- 4T. WatanabeD
- 35M. MarmolD
- 16J. LopezD
- 8G. ZechielM
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 10L. ValenteM
- 23A. Hadj MoussaF
- 9A. UedaF
- 27G. DiarraF
- 39L. BossinG
- 37M. Berger
- 20M. DeijlD
- 30J. LotombaD
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 14S. SteijnM
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 11G. BorgesF
- 1K. NikiemaG
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 3P. MulderD
- 15M. HokkeD
- 18S. SyllaD
- 25J. KiloM
- 14M. JimenezM
- 7D. van MieghemM
- 11E. RottierM
- 27N. ThomasM
- 46Y. EduardoF
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 12S. EekhoutG
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 4M. WaemD
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 35S. BergtopD
- 10I. de RuijterD
- 8J. ZamburekM
- 16F. de Bruin
Form going into Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord
All competitions we cover
- W5-2away to Cambuur23 August 2026
- D2-2GO Ahead Eagles16 August 2026
- W1-0away to Sparta Rotterdam9 August 2026
ADO Den Haag
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to GO Ahead Eagles23 August 2026
- L1-4Groningen16 August 2026
- L0-2away to AZ Alkmaar8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 17 | +19 | 25 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
- 1 August 2021Feyenoord 1–1 ADO Den HaagFriendlies Clubs
- 2 May 2021ADO Den Haag 3–2 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 27 September 2020Feyenoord 4–2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 15 September 2019Feyenoord 3–2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Leading scorers: Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord
GoalsAssists
- A. Hadj-Moussa72
- Nacho Ferri63
- G. Zechiël54
ADO Den Haag
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Feyenoord at 53% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Thomas 12' for ADO Den Haag, S. Sylla 53' for ADO Den Haag, A. Ueda 62' for Feyenoord, A. Hadj Moussa 72' for Feyenoord. On expected goals it finished 2.39–0.25.