Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Feyenoord 2-2 ADO Den Haag.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Feyenoord, 26% draw, 21% ADO Den Haag — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Feyenoord at 53% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. ErnstG
- 26G. ReadD
- 4T. WatanabeD
- 35M. MarmolD
- 16J. LopezD
- 8G. ZechielM
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 10L. ValenteM
- 23A. Hadj MoussaF
- 9A. UedaF
- 27G. DiarraF
- 39L. BossinG
- 37M. Berger
- 20M. DeijlD
- 30J. LotombaD
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 14S. SteijnM
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 11G. BorgesF
- 1K. NikiemaG
- 2O. RaterinkD
- 3P. MulderD
- 15M. HokkeD
- 18S. SyllaD
- 25J. KiloM
- 14M. JimenezM
- 7D. van MieghemM
- 11E. RottierM
- 27N. ThomasM
- 46Y. EduardoF
- 23N. ThiedeG
- 12S. EekhoutG
- 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
- 4M. WaemD
- 22L. WilhelmD
- 35S. BergtopD
- 10I. de RuijterD
- 8J. ZamburekM
- 16F. de Bruin
Form going into Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord
- W5-2away to Cambuur23 August 2026
- D2-2GO Ahead Eagles16 August 2026
ADO Den Haag
- L1-3away to GO Ahead Eagles23 August 2026
- L1-4Groningen16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 14 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
- 30 August 2026Feyenoord 2–2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 1 August 2021Feyenoord 1–1 ADO Den HaagFriendlies Clubs
- 2 May 2021ADO Den Haag 3–2 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 27 September 2020Feyenoord 4–2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
- 15 September 2019Feyenoord 3–2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
Leading scorers: Feyenoord and ADO Den Haag
Feyenoord
- G. Zechiël5 goals3 assists
- L. Valente3 goals1 assists
- Nacho Ferri3 goals1 assists
ADO Den Haag
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.