15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Celta Vigo vs Juventus UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Vigo
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Celta Vigo 1-2 Juventus.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Celta Vigo, 30% draw, 42% Juventus — fair odds of 3.57, 3.33 and 2.38.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Juventus at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Celta Vigo3%Draw93%Juventus4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Hugo Alvarez Antunezassist: Williot Swedberg
18'
Williot Swedberg
39'
54'
Lloyd Kelly
58'
⚽Nick Woltemade
🔁Williot Swedbergout: Couhaib Driouech
62'
64'
🔁Francisco Conceicaoout: Nicolás Iván Gonzalez
64'
🔁Kerim Alajbegovicout: Randal Kolo Muani
70'
🔁Lloyd Kellyout: Jhon Lucumi
70'
🔁Federico Gattiout: Gleison Bremer
72'
Jhon Lucumi
🔁Aleix Febasout: Hugo Burcio
75'
🔁Ferran Jutglàout: Iago Aspas
75'
82'
🔁Teun Koopmeinersout: Douglas Luiz Soares
Ilaix Moriba
84'
🔁Javier Rueda Garcíaout: Álvaro Núñez
85'
🔁Hugo Alvarez Antunezout: Hugo González
85'
90+2'
⚽Randal Kolo Muaniassist: Andrea Cambiaso

Match stats — Celta Vigo vs Juventus

47%Possession53%
9Shots22
2On target6
2Corners7
1.1xG1.75

Goals against chances

Celta Vigo1 from 1.10 xGabout what the chances were worth
Juventus2 from 1.75 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Celta Vigo 3-4-3
  • 13I. RaduG
  • 20Javi RodríguezD
  • 18Yoel LagoD
  • 3Marcos AlonsoD
  • 17Javi RuedaM
  • 6I. MoribaM
  • 14Aleix FebasM
  • 5Sergio CarreiraM
  • 23Hugo ÁlvarezF
  • 9Ferran JutglàF
  • 19W. SwedbergF
Substitutes
  • 28Andrés AntañónM
  • 15Álvaro NúñezD
  • 35G. MillerD
  • 31Ángel ArcosF
  • 10Iago AspasF
  • 1A. BayındırG
  • 30H. BurcioM
  • 21S. CáceresD
  • 24C. DriouechF
Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Juventus 3-4-2-1
  • 25G. VicarioG
  • 15P. KaluluD
  • 4F. GattiD
  • 6L. KellyD
  • 22W. McKennieM
  • 29P. SarrM
  • 8T. KoopmeinersM
  • 20A. CambiasoM
  • 7Francisco ConceiçãoM
  • 17Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM
  • 27N. WoltemadeF
Substitutes
  • 33NetoG
  • 26J. LucumíD
  • 9R. Kolo MuaniF
  • 31N. GonzálezF
  • 12Douglas LuizM
  • 2Z. ÇelikD
  • 32J. CabalD
  • 3BremerD
  • 23C. PinsoglioG
Coach: L. Spalletti

Form going into Celta Vigo vs Juventus

Celta Vigo

UEFA Europa League

  • L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia16 September 2026

Juventus

UEFA Europa League

  • W5-0NEC Nijmegen17 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
27Celta Vigo410346-23
5Juventus4310114+710

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Celta Vigo and Juventus

Celta Vigo

No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Juventus

GoalsAssists

  • R. Kolo Muani32
  • N. Woltemade32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Juventus won 2–1 at Celta Vigo. The model had made a win for Juventus its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Hugo Alvarez Antunez 18' for Celta Vigo, Nick Woltemade 58' for Juventus, Randal Kolo Muani 90+2' for Juventus. On expected goals it finished 1.10–1.75.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.