16 October 2026, 09:00 UTC

Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers A-League prediction & result

Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney
Referee: Alexander George King, Australia
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Sydney FC 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Sydney FC, 27% draw, 25% Western Sydney Wanderers — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sydney FC at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sydney FC4%Draw93%Western Sydney Wanderers3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
🔁A. Lualout: A. Waraga
33'
M. Di Pizio
J. Hollman
51'
52'
N. Milanovic
A. Popovic
62'
65'
G. Ferreyra
🔁A. Toureout: A. Akon
66'
69'
🔁N. Milanovicout: A. Hammond
O. Sunday
75'
80'
🔁A. Thurgateout: N. Barrie
80'
🔁A. Gersbachout: J. Carluccio
80'
🔁L. Gillionout: H. Ibusuki
🔁O. Sundayout: G. Popovic
80'
🔁J. Hollmanout: W. Kamijo
80'
🔁T. Sekineout: J. Overy
81'
86'
D. Scicluna
B. Garuccio
90'
90+3'
J. Carluccio

Match stats — Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers

45%Possession55%
9Shots13
1On target2
2Corners3

Line-ups

Sydney FC 4-2-3-1
  • 12Harrison Devenish-MearesG
  • 23Rhyan GrantD
  • 41Alexandar PopovicD
  • 4Jordan Courtney-PerkinsD
  • 17Ben GaruccioD
  • 36Rhys YoulleyM
  • 15Jake HollmanM
  • 35Al Hassan ToureM
  • 20Tiago QuintalM
  • 14Takahiro SekineM
  • 9Oriola SundayF
Substitutes
  • 7Akol AkonF
  • 8Wataru KamijoM
  • 16Gabriel PopovicF
  • 2James OveryD
  • 30Alexander ZaverdinosG
  • 28Ethan DyerD
  • 29Joseph LaceyM
Western Sydney Wanderers 4-2-3-1
  • 20Lawrence ThomasG
  • 36Panashe MadanhaD
  • 33Germán FerreyraD
  • 22Anthony PantazopoulosD
  • 3Alex GersbachD
  • 32Angus ThurgateM
  • 8Dylan SciclunaM
  • 14Nicolas MilanovićM
  • 10Miguel Di PizioM
  • 21Liam GillionM
  • 19Awan LualF
Substitutes
  • 11Atiya WaragaF
  • 7Aydan HammondF
  • 24Nathan BarrieD
  • 17Jarrod CarluccioF
  • 9Hiroshi IbusukiF
  • 23Jordan HolmesG
  • 27Jai RoseM

A-League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Sydney FC421174+37
6Western Sydney Wanderers412164+25

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers

  • 11 April 2026Western Sydney Wanderers 0–2 Sydney FCA-League
  • 31 January 2026Sydney FC 4–1 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
  • 29 November 2025Western Sydney Wanderers 1–0 Sydney FCA-League
  • 8 February 2025Sydney FC 3–3 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
  • 23 November 2024Sydney FC 4–2 Western Sydney WanderersA-League

Leading scorers: Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers

Sydney FC

GoalsAssists

  • A. Toure41
  • O. Sunday12

Western Sydney Wanderers

GoalsAssists

  • N. Milanovic20
  • A. Waraga10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Sydney FC at 48% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

How the call on Sydney FC v Western Sydney Wanderers has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Sydney FC's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Sydney FC win48%▲ +4
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Western Sydney Wanderers win25%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.