31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr Premier League prediction & result

Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 Masr.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Ceramica Cleopatra, 29% draw, 27% Masr — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ceramica Cleopatra at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ceramica Cleopatra4%Draw93%Masr3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
Mahmoud Ali Sayed Elaraby
🔁Ahmed Hanyout: Justice Arthur
45'
45'
🔁Sameh Ibrahimout: Marwan Mohamed Marzouk
52'
⚽Rafaat Khalilassist: Abdelrahman Hassan El Banouby
57'
•Tarek Alaa
🔁Peter Gwargisout: Samir El Eraki
60'
🔁Amr Kalawaout: Marwan Otaka
61'
🔁Sodiq Ougolaout: Mohamed Reda
61'
75'
🔁Abdelrahman Hassan El Banoubyout: Ahmed Atef
76'
🔁Rafaat Khalilout: Ahmed Elkalamawy
🔁Fawzi El Henawyout: Khaled Al-Nabris
83'
85'
🔁Mahmoud Ali Sayed Elarabyout: Mohamed Ezz
85'
🔁Maata Magassaout: Mostafa Saad Abdallah Sayed
86'
Mostafa Saad Abdallah Sayed
⚽Mohamed Redaassist: Ahmed Ramadan
86'
⚽Khaled Al-Nabrisassist: Ahmed Belhadji
90+6'
Khaled Al-Nabris
90+7'

Match stats — Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr

62%Possession38%
15Shots15
5On target4
2Corners4
1.13xG1.63

Goals against chances

Ceramica Cleopatra2 from 1.13 xGmore than the chances were worth
Masr1 from 1.63 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ceramica Cleopatra 4-2-3-1
  • 23M. AlaaG
  • 2Ahmed HanyD
  • 4Ahmed RamadanD
  • 66Mohamed El MaghrabyD
  • 32F. El HenawyD
  • 28Amr KalawaM
  • 10Ahmed BelhadjiM
  • 21P. GwargisM
  • 17Amr Al SulayaM
  • 11S. OugolaM
  • 9N. GradišarF
Substitutes
  • 15Samir El ErakiF
  • 24J. ArthurM
  • 22Khalied AlnabrisiF
  • 25Mohamed El HusseinyF
  • 18Mohamed BassamG
  • 77Mohamed RedaM
  • 31Moaz MosaadM
  • 29Marwan OsmanF
  • 6Karim NedvedM
Coach: Ali Maher
Masr 5-4-1
  • 1Aly LotfyG
  • 23T. AlaaD
  • 2Mohamed HusseinD
  • 3Abdallah BakriD
  • 34M. MohamedD
  • 15Sameh IbrahimD
  • 11Abdelrahman El BanoubyM
  • 33Mohamed IbrahimM
  • 74Mahmoud Sayed okaaM
  • 37M. MagassaM
  • 7Rafaat KhalilF
Substitutes
  • 24Abdel Rahman GoudaD
  • 19Mohamed EzzF
  • 10Mostafa SaadF
  • 14Ahmed ElkalamawyF
  • 72Marwane HajijM
  • 40Marwan Mohamed MarzoukD
  • 16M. MazzikaG
  • 9Ahmed AtefF
  • 22Mahmoud NabilM
Coach: Mohamed Shawky

Form going into Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr

Ceramica Cleopatra

Premier League

  • W2-0Petrojet21 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Pyramids FC12 October 2026
  • W2-0National Bank of Egypt14 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026

Masr

Premier League

  • W3-2Future FC20 October 2026
  • D1-1away to El Mokawloon12 October 2026
  • W2-1Olympic El Qanah17 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Enppi9 September 2026

What these results say

  • Ceramica Cleopatra scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Masr scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Masr conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Masr.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602158+718
10Masr8323910-111

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr

  • 14 August 2025Masr 0–0 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 17 April 2025Masr 1–4 Ceramica CleopatraLeague Cup
  • 12 February 2025Masr 1–1 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 21 August 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 0–3 MasrCup
  • 18 August 2024Masr 2–2 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 3 April 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 MasrPremier League

Leading scorers: Ceramica Cleopatra and Masr

Ceramica Cleopatra

GoalsAssists

  • Mohamed Reda32
  • Ahmed Belhadji23

Masr

GoalsAssists

  • Ahmed Atef21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ceramica Cleopatra beat Masr 2–1. The model had made a win for Ceramica Cleopatra its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Rafaat Khalil 52' for Masr, Mohamed Reda 86' for Ceramica Cleopatra, Khaled Al-Nabris 90+6' for Ceramica Cleopatra. On expected goals it finished 1.13–1.63.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ceramica Cleopatra a 87.6% chance to finish in the top six: 93.3% after a win, 86.1% after a draw, 81.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.3%, 5.7 points higher than before the match.

For Masr the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 34.5% going in: 49.8% after a win, 34.1% after a draw, 25.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 25.2%, 9.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.