31 October 2026, 16:45 UTC

MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: MB Rouisset 1-1 Ben Aknoun.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% MB Rouisset, 27% draw, 26% Ben Aknoun — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MB Rouisset at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MB Rouisset5%Draw92%Ben Aknoun3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Derder
31'
48'
⚽L. Adjout
🔁M. Syout: N. Ben Kheira
59'
A. Derder
62'
64'
A. Saad
64'
A. Chaaraoui
66'
F. Talah
🔁B. Hendout: M. Benzaid
69'
🔁A. Derderout: Z. Benabda
69'
H. Salem
71'
🔁R. Hamrouneout: Z. Benabbas
82'
86'
🔁A. Djaboutout: A. Zaouche
86'
🔁L. Adjoutout: D. E. Mechid
86'
🔁A. Saadout: Y. Bishou

Form going into MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun

MB Rouisset

Ligue 1

  • D1-1away to ASO Chlef24 October 2026
  • W1-0JS Saoura18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Témouchent14 October 2026

Ben Aknoun

Ligue 1

  • D0-0away to JS Saoura24 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Olympique Akbou16 October 2026
  • D2-2JS El Biar7 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4MB Rouisset943296+315
11Ben Aknoun815289-18

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun

  • 18 March 2026Ben Aknoun 3–2 MB RouissetLigue 1
  • 25 October 2025MB Rouisset 0–0 Ben AknounLigue 1

The result against the call

MB Rouisset and Ben Aknoun drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for MB Rouisset at 47% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Derder 31' for MB Rouisset, L. Adjout 48' for Ben Aknoun.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave MB Rouisset a 12.4% chance to finish in the top two: 15.2% after a win, 9.7% after a draw, 7.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 9.7%, 2.7 points lower than before the match.

For Ben Aknoun the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 10.3% going in: 7.4% after a win, 9.1% after a draw, 11.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 9.1%, 1.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 47% / 27% / 26%: the biggest move is MB Rouisset's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. MB Rouisset win47%▲ +9
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Ben Aknoun win26%▼ −7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.