1 November 2026, 12:30 UTC

Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp Jupiler Pro League prediction & result

Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Cercle Brugge 2-1 Antwerp.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Cercle Brugge, 24% draw, 27% Antwerp — fair odds of 2.04, 4.17 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cercle Brugge at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cercle Brugge96%Draw4%Antwerp0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁T. Adaramolaout: G. Magnee
13'
21'
🔁T. Somersout: C. Scott
30'
C. Mejia
37'
S. Porozo
45+2'
M. Compper
⚽T. Akinsolaassist: S. Ngoura
48'
⚽T. Akinsolaassist: S. Ngoura
61'
63'
🔁S. Porozoout: M. Frey
63'
🔁I. Salahout: Y. Hamdaoui
67'
A. Cortes
🔁T. Akinsolaout: L. Michal
71'
🔁A. Mannehout: L. Mondele
71'
🔁Erick Nunesout: V. Martens
71'
74'
🔁C. Mejiaout: M. Fofana
74'
🔁D. Foulonout: Y. Tsunashima
79'
Y. Tsunashima
81'
⚽M. Fofanaassist: B. Deuff
🔁S. Ngouraout: E. Kakou
83'
90+8'
T. Nozawa

Match stats — Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp

40%Possession60%
10Shots15
5On target4
4Corners4
0.71xG2.36

Goals against chances

Cercle Brugge2 from 0.71 xGmore than the chances were worth
Antwerp1 from 2.36 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge 4-2-3-1
  • 1Gaëtan CouckeG
  • 2Ibrahim DiakitéD
  • 24Geoffrey KondoD
  • 33Royer CaicedoD
  • 45Tayo AdaramolaD
  • 18Luke Le RouxM
  • 28Hannes Van Der BruggenM
  • 30Tunde AkinsolaM
  • 20Abdoulie MannehM
  • 8Erick NunesM
  • 9Steve NgouraF
Substitutes
  • 15Gary MagneeD
  • 42Lukas MondeleM
  • 71Viggo MartensM
  • 22Lucas MichalF
  • 5Emmanuel KakouD
  • 21Yann LienardG
  • 75Sebbe GheerardynsD
  • 82Louis ColmanD
  • 41Krys KouassiF
Antwerp 4-2-3-1
  • 41Taishi Brandon NozawaG
  • 17Semm RendersD
  • 20Rein Van HeldenD
  • 3Álvaro CortésD
  • 5Daam FoulonD
  • 6Bahmed DeuffM
  • 48Arthur VermeerenM
  • 80Carlos MejiaM
  • 24Thibo SomersM
  • 7Ibrahim SalahM
  • 33Snayder PorozoF
Substitutes
  • 10Christopher ScottM
  • 11Youssef HamdaouiM
  • 9Michael FreyF
  • 4Yuto TsunashimaM
  • 25Modibo FofanaM
  • 81Niels DevalckeneerG
  • 44Maxime BusiD
  • 8Mauricio BenitezM
  • 14Xander DierckxM

Form going into Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp

Cercle Brugge

Jupiler Pro League

  • L2-5away to Union St. Gilloise25 October 2026
  • L1-2Anderlecht10 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Charleroi19 September 2026

Antwerp

Jupiler Pro League

  • W3-0Charleroi24 October 2026
  • L1-5away to KVC Westerlo11 October 2026
  • L0-2Union St. Gilloise20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Cercle Brugge112361422-89
13Antwerp113261824-611

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp

  • 31 January 2026Cercle Brugge 0–4 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 4 October 2025Antwerp 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 1 March 2025Cercle Brugge 0–0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
  • 6 October 2024Antwerp 3–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 12 May 2024Antwerp 1–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • 21 April 2024Cercle Brugge 0–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League

Leading scorers: Cercle Brugge and Antwerp

Cercle Brugge

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Antwerp

GoalsAssists

  • M. Frey40
  • S. Porozo40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Cercle Brugge beat Antwerp 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Cercle Brugge at 49%. The goals: T. Akinsola 48' for Cercle Brugge, T. Akinsola 61' for Cercle Brugge, M. Fofana 81' for Antwerp. On expected goals it finished 0.71–2.36.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cercle Brugge a 9.9% chance to finish in the bottom two: 7.3% after a win, 10.7% after a draw, 13.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.3%, 2.6 points lower than before the match.

For Antwerp the question was the chance to finish in the bottom two, 7.5% going in: 4.7% after a win, 6.7% after a draw, 8.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.6%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Jupiler Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Cercle Brugge v Antwerp has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 53% / 23% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 49% / 24% / 27%: the biggest move is Cercle Brugge's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Cercle Brugge win49%▼ −4
  2. Draw24%▲ +1
  3. Antwerp win27%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.