22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Nu Stadium, Fort Lauderdale
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Inter Miami, 15% draw, 14% Toronto FC — fair odds of 1.41, 6.67 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Inter Miami at 71% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Inter Miami vs Toronto FC

Inter Miami

  • D2-2away to Philadelphia Union19 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Nashville SC16 August 2026
  • D2-2Columbus Crew1 August 2026
  • W1-0away to CF Montreal25 July 2026
  • W3-2Chicago Fire22 July 2026

Toronto FC

  • D3-3Charlotte19 August 2026
  • W2-1New England Revolution15 August 2026
  • D1-1away to New York City FC31 July 2026
  • L1-2away to DC United25 July 2026
  • D0-0away to New England Revolution22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Inter Miami vs Toronto FC

  • 9 May 2026Toronto FC 2–4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 27 September 2025Toronto FC 1–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 6 April 2025Inter Miami 1–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
  • 5 October 2024Toronto FC 0–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
  • 8 August 2024Inter Miami 4–3 Toronto FCLeagues Cup
  • 17 July 2024Inter Miami 3–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Inter Miami and Toronto FC

Inter Miami

  • L. Messi19 goals11 assists
  • L. Suárez11 goals2 assists

Toronto FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.