28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC

Charlotte vs CF Montreal Major League Soccer prediction & result

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Referee: Ricardo Fierro
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Charlotte 4-0 CF Montreal.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Charlotte, 22% draw, 18% CF Montreal — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Charlotte at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Charlotte99%Draw1%CF Montreal0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Idan Toklomati Jornoassist: Allan Saint-Maximin
7'
45'
🔁Victor Loturiout: Fabian Herbers
45'
🔁Noah Streitout: Dante Sealy
63'
🔁Daniel Riosout: Alexis Sanchez
64'
Efrain Morales
🔁Rodolfo Alokoout: Liel Abada
65'
⚽Liel Abadaassist: Djibril Diani
67'
🔁Allan Saint-Maximinout: Tyger Smalls
76'
🔁Ashley Westwoodout: Luca De La Torre
76'
76'
🔁Gennadiy Synchukout: Olger Escobar
⚽Liel Abadaassist: Idan Toklomati Jorno
79'
82'
🔁Matthew Longstaffout: Daniel Pereira
⚽Liel Abadaassist: Pep Biel
83'
🔁Pep Bielout: Abdoulaye Doucouré
84'
🔁Idan Toklomati Jornoout: Nathan Richmond
84'
86'
Daniel Pereira
90+2'
Fabian Herbers

Match stats — Charlotte vs CF Montreal

47%Possession53%
13Shots10
7On target1
8Corners6
2.11xG0.45

Goals against chances

Charlotte4 from 2.11 xGmore than the chances were worth
CF Montreal0 from 0.45 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Charlotte 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. KahlinaG
  • 14N. ByrneD
  • 44M. AgyemangD
  • 22H. KesslerD
  • 15H. ToffoloD
  • 8A. WestwoodM
  • 28D. DianiM
  • 37R. AlokoM
  • 16Pep BielM
  • 10A. Saint-MaximinM
  • 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
Substitutes
  • 11L. AbadaF
  • 20B. CoulibalyM
  • 17L. de la TorreM
  • 6A. DoucouréM
  • 21T. MillerG
  • 4A. PrivettD
  • 71N. RichmondF
  • 23D. SchneggD
  • 25Tyger SmallsF
Coach: D. Smith
CF Montreal 4-3-3
  • 41S. KeitaG
  • 27D. BugajD
  • 24E. MoralesD
  • 4B. VeraD
  • 13L. PetrassoD
  • 16W. CarmonaM
  • 8M. LongstaffM
  • 22V. LoturiM
  • 18H. SynchukF
  • 14D. RíosF
  • 23N. StreitF
Substitutes
  • 10A. SánchezF
  • 17D. SealyF
  • 6S. PietteM
  • 7D. PereiraM
  • 21F. HerbersF
  • 28V. RadojevićD
  • 29O. EscobarF
  • 5B. CraigD
  • 1S. BrezaG
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Form going into Charlotte vs CF Montreal

Charlotte

Major League Soccer

  • L2-3away to Portland Timbers25 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Philadelphia Union17 October 2026

CF Montreal

Major League Soccer

  • L0-2Nashville SC24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Seattle Sounders18 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Charlotte34159106651+1554
15CF Montreal3468203769-3226

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Charlotte vs CF Montreal

  • 9 September 2026CF Montreal 1–2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 27 September 2025Charlotte 1–4 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 12 April 2025CF Montreal 0–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 5 October 2024Charlotte 2–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 14 September 2024CF Montreal 2–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
  • 15 July 2023CF Montreal 2–0 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Charlotte and CF Montreal

Charlotte

GoalsAssists

  • I. Toklomati Giorno155

CF Montreal

GoalsAssists

  • P. Owusu156

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Charlotte beat CF Montreal 4–0. The model had made a win for Charlotte its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Idan Toklomati Jorno 7' for Charlotte, Liel Abada 67' for Charlotte, Liel Abada 79' for Charlotte, Liel Abada 83' for Charlotte. On expected goals it finished 2.11–0.45.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.