3 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia I Liga prediction & result

Stadion Chrobrego
Referee: A. Rozycki
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Chrobry Głogów 0-0 Arka Gdynia.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Chrobry Głogów, 29% draw, 29% Arka Gdynia — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chrobry Głogów at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chrobry Głogów5%Draw93%Arka Gdynia2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

44'
J. Dominguez
45+2'
🔁F. Walusout: S. Lewkot
A. Sadiku
51'
58'
D. Kocyla
A. Bukowski
60'
🔁A. Bukowskiout: R. Bak
63'
🔁A. Rybakout: K. Ibe-Torti
63'
🔁A. Sadikuout: W. Staszak
63'
72'
🔁K. Soleckiout: M. Milewski
72'
🔁D. Kunout: M. Rzuchowski
🔁Y. Sharaburaout: A. Klimek
77'
🔁S. Strozikout: K. Szablowski
83'
84'
🔁D. Kocylaout: E. Rama
84'
🔁V. Gutkovskisout: K. Gruszkowski
M. Kozajda
90+1'

Form going into Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia

Chrobry Głogów

I Liga

  • D0-0away to Stal Mielec24 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Polonia Bytom17 October 2026
  • L0-4Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki10 October 2026

Arka Gdynia

I Liga

  • W3-1Nieciecza24 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Lechia Gdansk18 October 2026
  • L1-2Polonia Warszawa10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Chrobry Głogów143651517-215
12Arka Gdynia145361917+218

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chrobry Głogów vs Arka Gdynia

  • 12 April 2025Chrobry Głogów 2–2 Arka GdyniaI Liga
  • 29 September 2024Arka Gdynia 2–0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
  • 5 April 2024Arka Gdynia 2–1 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
  • 23 September 2023Chrobry Głogów 1–0 Arka GdyniaI Liga
  • 21 April 2023Chrobry Głogów 0–3 Arka GdyniaI Liga
  • 16 September 2022Arka Gdynia 3–4 Chrobry GłogówI Liga

The result against the call

Chrobry Głogów and Arka Gdynia drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Chrobry Głogów at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: J. Dominguez (Arka Gdynia) 44'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Chrobry Głogów a 17.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 12.7% after a win, 18.3% after a draw, 23.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 18.3%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.

For Arka Gdynia the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 16.1% going in: 10.1% after a win, 15.1% after a draw, 19.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 15.1%, 1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Chrobry Głogów v Arka Gdynia has moved

First published on 20 Oct at 33% / 29% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is Chrobry Głogów's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Chrobry Głogów win42%▲ +9
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Arka Gdynia win29%▼ −9

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.