2 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole I Liga prediction & result

Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8
Referee: L. Szczech
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Polonia Bytom 3-0 Odra Opole.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Polonia Bytom, 28% draw, 23% Odra Opole — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Polonia Bytom at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Polonia Bytom99%Draw1%Odra Opole0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁K. Orlikout: P. Stefanski
15'
J. Szymanski
22'
K. Wolkowicz
35'
L. Zielinski
35'
36'
M. Spychala
⚽K. Andrzejczakassist: L. Zielinski
50'
⚽D. Ruminassist: B. Mioc
54'
62'
🔁J. Perezout: M. Nalepa
62'
🔁S. Gierobaout: M. Feliks
62'
🔁P. Szyszout: B. Spacil
62'
🔁M. Spychalaout: F. Kupczyk
🔁P. Stefanskiout: C. Pena
68'
🔁D. Ruminout: K. Wojtyra
68'
⚽B. Miocassist: M. Labojko
79'
🔁L. Zielinskiout: D. Konieczny
79'
🔁G. Szymusikout: K. Michalski
79'
80'
🔁B. Biedrzyckiout: K. Palacz

Form going into Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole

Polonia Bytom

I Liga

  • W2-1away to Unia Skierniewice24 October 2026
  • W3-2Chrobry Głogów17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Puszcza Niepołomice11 October 2026

Odra Opole

I Liga

  • L0-1Pogoń Siedlce25 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Ruch Chorzów16 October 2026
  • W1-0Miedz Legnica11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Polonia Bytom146622420+424
18Odra Opole143381121-1012

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole

  • 26 April 2026Odra Opole 0–2 Polonia BytomI Liga
  • 19 October 2025Polonia Bytom 0–0 Odra OpoleI Liga
  • 4 February 2023Odra Opole 1–1 Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 July 2022Odra Opole 0–2 Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 January 2022Odra Opole 7–1 Polonia BytomFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

Polonia Bytom beat Odra Opole 3–0. The model had made a win for Polonia Bytom its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: K. Andrzejczak 50' for Polonia Bytom, D. Rumin 54' for Polonia Bytom, B. Mioc 79' for Polonia Bytom.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Polonia Bytom a 11.2% chance to finish in the top two: 13.2% after a win, 8.2% after a draw, 7.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.2%, 2 points higher than before the match.

For Odra Opole the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 44.9% going in: 32.7% after a win, 45.5% after a draw, 49.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 49.2%, 4.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our I Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Polonia Bytom v Odra Opole has moved

First published on 19 Oct at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 49% / 28% / 23%: the biggest move is Polonia Bytom's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Polonia Bytom win49%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Odra Opole win23%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.