16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Sport Huancayo vs Cusco Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Referee: Edwin Ordonez
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Sport Huancayo 2-1 Cusco.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Sport Huancayo, 26% draw, 33% Cusco — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sport Huancayo at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽Jimmy Valoyes (OG)
32'
Ricardo Lagos
36'
José Zevallos
Omar Alberto Labrador Gutierrez
45+3'
55'
🔁Miguel Silveiraout: Nicolás Silva
55'
🔁Jean Montanoout: Lucas Colitto
🔁Diego Carabañoout: Ronal Huaccha
58'
⚽Nahuel Lujan
68'
Ricardo Salcedo
73'
74'
🔁Carlos Diezout: Gu Choi Guevara
74'
🔁Facundo Callejoout: Juan Manuel Tévez
75'
🔁José Zevallosout: Marlon Ruidías
🔁Daniel porozoout: Juan David Martínez
75'
🔁Ricardo Salcedoout: Aldo Quinonez
76'
Aldo Quinonez
76'
80'
⚽Juan Manuel Tévez (pen)
80'
Nicolás Silva
85'
Diego Soto
🔁Piero Magallanesout: E. Villar
85'
🔁Nahuel Lujanout: Juan Gimenez
85'
⚽Javier Sanguinetti (pen)
90'

Match stats — Sport Huancayo vs Cusco

58%Possession42%
25Shots5
5On target2
9Corners2
2.47xG1.06

Goals against chances

Sport Huancayo2 from 2.47 xGabout what the chances were worth
Cusco1 from 1.06 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1
  • 12Á. ZamudioG
  • 16J. FalconíD
  • 26M. GaonaD
  • 70J. ValoyesD
  • 2Omar Alberto Labrador GutierrezD
  • 8D. CarabañoM
  • 22R. SalcedoM
  • 23P. MagallanesM
  • 10N. LujánM
  • 11Javier Andrés SanguinettiM
  • 97D. PorozoF
Substitutes
  • 38E. VillarM
  • 17J. GiménezF
  • 29A. CcorahuaG
  • 4J. BarredaD
  • 19R. HuacchaF
  • 9J. MartínezF
  • 92Y. MurilloD
  • 91A. QuiñónezM
  • 28J. RostaingD
Coach: R. Pellejero
Cusco 4-1-4-1
  • 28P. DíazG
  • 21J. ZevallosD
  • 6Á. AmpueroD
  • 2C. GamarraD
  • 3R. LagosD
  • 55J. MontañoM
  • 14C. DiezM
  • 88D. SotoM
  • 10I. ColmanM
  • 99Miguel SilveiraM
  • 9F. CallejoF
Substitutes
  • 22L. ColittoM
  • 77J. HerreraM
  • 7J. ManzanedaF
  • 24M. RuidíasD
  • 26N. SilvaF
  • 11J. TévezF
  • 16O. ValenzuelaM
  • 37G. ChoiD
  • 13A. VidalG
Coach: Javier Rabanal

Form going into Sport Huancayo vs Cusco

Sport Huancayo

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Deportivo Garcilaso10 October 2026

Cusco

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Alianza Lima11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Peru Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Sport Huancayo33155134849-150
6Cusco33163144647-151

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sport Huancayo vs Cusco

  • 26 April 2026Cusco 2–1 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
  • 23 November 2025Sport Huancayo 1–2 CuscoPrimera División
  • 13 July 2025Cusco 3–0 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
  • 25 July 2024Cusco 3–0 Sport HuancayoPrimera División
  • 11 February 2024Sport Huancayo 2–0 CuscoPrimera División

Leading scorers: Sport Huancayo and Cusco

Sport Huancayo

GoalsAssists

  • Javier Andrés Sanguinetti105

Cusco

GoalsAssists

  • F. Callejo182

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sport Huancayo beat Cusco 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sport Huancayo at 41%. The goals: Jimmy Valoyes (own goal) 8' for Cusco, Nahuel Lujan 68' for Sport Huancayo, Javier Sanguinetti (penalty) 90' for Sport Huancayo. On expected goals it finished 2.47–1.06.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cusco a 27.7% chance to finish in the top four: 41.9% after a win, 24.8% after a draw, 16.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.8%, 10.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Primera División season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sport Huancayo v Cusco has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 37% / 28% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 26% / 33%: the biggest move is Sport Huancayo's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Sport Huancayo win41%▲ +4
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Cusco win33%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.