17 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape
Referee: Jordi Espinoza
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Juan Pablo II College 2-0 Sport Boys.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Juan Pablo II College, 28% draw, 31% Sport Boys — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Juan Pablo II College at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Juan Pablo II College96%Draw4%Sport Boys0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nilton Ramirez
27'
28'
Percy Liza
45'
Gustavo Dulanto
⚽Erinson Ramirez
45+2'
45+3'
Mathias Llontop
45+3'
Jostin Alarcon
53'
🔁Percy Lizaout: Rolando Diaz
🔁Nilton Ramirezout: Jack·Duran
60'
65'
🔁Luis Urrutiout: Miguel Trauco
Janio Pósito
66'
🔁Janio Pósitoout: Mateo Rodríguez
71'
🔁Erinson Ramirezout: Héctor Bazán
72'
🔁Juan Pablo Goicocheaout: Christian Flores
82'
83'
🔁Jostin Alarconout: Federico Illanes
⚽Álvaro Rojas
90'

Match stats — Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys

44%Possession56%
17Shots17
8On target2
5Corners5
1.45xG0.63

Goals against chances

Juan Pablo II College2 from 1.45 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sport Boys0 from 0.63 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Juan Pablo II College 4-3-3
  • 23M. VegaG
  • 2H. AncajimaD
  • 31J. ToledoD
  • 60P. MíguezD
  • 19P. ReynaD
  • 15N. RamírezM
  • 3A. SánchezM
  • 37Á. RojasM
  • 18E. RamírezF
  • 89J. PósitoF
  • 79J. GoicocheaF
Substitutes
  • 71C. VillanuevaM
  • 14J. CarhuallanquiM
  • 20H. BazánM
  • 80Eren Melih DoğanM
  • 28J. DuránM
  • 8C. FloresM
  • 7A. HendricksF
  • 12I. QuispeG
  • 97M. RodríguezF
Coach: J. Araujo
Sport Boys 4-2-3-1
  • 22D. MeliánG
  • 17E. SabaD
  • 3C. ZambranoD
  • 55G. DulantoD
  • 13M. LlontopD
  • 24O. MoraM
  • 10J. AlarcónM
  • 30P. LizaM
  • 77Y. CeliM
  • 11L. UrrutiM
  • 32P. ErustesF
Substitutes
  • 14R. DíazF
  • 5F. IllanesM
  • 29N. LoyolaD
  • 61J. NolascoG
  • 36Nicolas PazM
  • 37Adrián Jesús Santana ValenzuelaM
  • 47M. TraucoD
  • 4R. AlfaniD
  • 2Luciano Francesco Zambrano AliagaD
Coach: C. Desio

Form going into Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Comerciantes Unidos10 October 2026

Sport Boys

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3Alianza Atletico11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Peru Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Juan Pablo II College33118144859-1141
11Sport Boys331210113735+242

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys

  • 26 April 2026Sport Boys 1–1 Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División
  • 20 July 2025Juan Pablo II College 3–0 Sport BoysPrimera División
  • 9 February 2025Sport Boys 1–0 Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División

The result against the call

Juan Pablo II College beat Sport Boys 2–0. The model had made a win for Juan Pablo II College its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Erinson Ramirez 45+2' for Juan Pablo II College, Álvaro Rojas 90' for Juan Pablo II College. On expected goals it finished 1.45–0.63.

How the call on Juan Pablo II College v Sport Boys has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 36% / 30% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Juan Pablo II College's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Juan Pablo II College win41%▲ +5
  2. Draw28%▼ −2
  3. Sport Boys win31%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.