Olympic El Qanah vs Enppi Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Olympic El Qanah 1-3 Enppi.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Olympic El Qanah, 27% draw, 30% Enppi — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Olympic El Qanah at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Olympic El Qanah vs Enppi
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16Mohamed ShaabanG
- 30Ossama FathyD
- 5Ibrahim SamyD
- 19Mohamed El ShebiniD
- 15Mohab SamyD
- 20H. IbrahimM
- 6Momen RadyM
- 18M. WayoM
- 33Mohamed SadekM
- 10M. HanyM
- 9Hazem Abou SenaF
- 25Mostafa HamadaM
- 27Ahmed AliM
- 22Mohamed HassanF
- 24Mohamed DiabD
- 14Mohamed El KottM
- 13Mohamed HozianD
- 1Mostafa MahmoudG
- 80R. NajjarineF
- 11Mohamed Hamdy ZakiF
- 1Abdel Rahman SamirG
- 36M. SharkiaD
- 4Ahmed Khalil KaloushaD
- 5Seif ElkhashabD
- 47Mohamed HamdyD
- 6Zeyad KamalM
- 25Sayed SaidM
- 11Mohamed SherifM
- 9Mohamed El NahassM
- 14Emad MayhoubM
- 18Hossam GahnemF
- 13R. LabodeM
- 7Ahmed HawashF
- 37Omar El AzabF
- 19Ali EhabF
- 3Marwan DawoudD
- 35Ousseynou BodianF
- 10KahrabaF
- 74Youssef Mohamed Abdel Wahed
- 16Reda El SayedG
Form going into Olympic El Qanah vs Enppi
Olympic El Qanah
Premier League
- D3-3away to Al Ahly21 October 2026
- D1-1Al Masry11 October 2026
- L1-2away to Masr17 September 2026
- D1-1El Geish7 September 2026
Enppi
Premier League
- L0-3El Mokawloon19 October 2026
- L2-3away to Future FC12 October 2026
- L1-2Pyramids FC17 September 2026
- W2-1Masr9 September 2026
What these results say
- Olympic El Qanah did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Olympic El Qanah scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Olympic El Qanah conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Enppi conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Enppi had three goals or more.
- Enppi failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egypt Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Olympic El Qanah | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Enppi | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Olympic El Qanah and Enppi
Olympic El Qanah
GoalsAssists
- M. Wayo30
- Hazem Abou Sena21
Enppi
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Enppi won 3–1 at Olympic El Qanah. The model had leaned towards a win for Olympic El Qanah at 43% and given a win for Enppi 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Emad Mayhoub (penalty) 29' for Enppi, Hossam Gahnem 37' for Enppi, Moahmed Sherif 50' for Enppi, Mohamed Hamdy Zaki (penalty) 90+2' for Olympic El Qanah. On expected goals it finished 1.74–2.30.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Olympic El Qanah a 16.6% chance to finish in the top six: 22.1% after a win, 13.0% after a draw, 10.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.1%, 6.5 points lower than before the match.
For Enppi the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 34.3% going in: 21.3% after a win, 34.7% after a draw, 41.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.3%, 13 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Olympic El Qanah v Enppi has moved
First published on 16 Oct at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 43% / 27% / 30%: the biggest move is Olympic El Qanah's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Olympic El Qanah win43%▲ +5
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Enppi win30%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.