Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Colorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Colorado Rapids, 26% draw, 30% Minnesota United FC — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Colorado Rapids at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 8H. OjediranM
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 7M. WhittakerF
- 32D. PhillipF
- 77D. YapiF
- 12J. AtencioM
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 24N. CobbD
- 16A. HarrisF
- 93G. MinoungouF
- 11I. SadiqF
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 99J. TravisD
- 9S. AbuF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 52Cherrion ValeriusD
- 28J. DíazD
- 15M. BoxallD
- 23M. DugganD
- 21B. HlongwaneM
- 30O. GeneM
- 20W. TrappM
- 8T. ChancalayM
- 9K. YeboahF
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 25N. TriantisD
- 27D. TaylorD
- 5N. RomeroD
- 94Kayne RizvanovichG
- 26J. PereyraM
- 11M. MaloneF
- 16A. JacksonM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 3K. DuncanD
Form going into Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- D1-1San Jose Earthquakes11 October 2026
- L2-3away to Los Angeles Galaxy27 September 2026
- D3-3Seattle Sounders20 September 2026
- W1-0CF Montreal13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Austin10 September 2026
Minnesota United FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Houston Dynamo11 October 2026
- L1-3away to Seattle Sounders27 September 2026
- L2-3Los Angeles Galaxy20 September 2026
- L2-4away to St. Louis City13 September 2026
- L1-2FC Dallas10 September 2026
What these results say
- Colorado Rapids scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Colorado Rapids conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Minnesota United FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Minnesota United FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Minnesota United FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC
- 14 May 2026Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 28 September 2025Colorado Rapids 1–1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
- 10 August 2025Minnesota United FC 1–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 29 September 2024Minnesota United FC 3–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 26 May 2024Colorado Rapids 3–3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 47 league goals as a side.
Minnesota United FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Yeboah184
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Colorado Rapids at 44% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Darren Yapi 45+1' for Colorado Rapids, Kelvin Yeboah 52' for Minnesota United FC, Georgi Minoungou 74' for Colorado Rapids, Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés (own goal) 83' for Minnesota United FC. Sent off: Sayed Abu Farkhi (Colorado Rapids) 68'. On expected goals it finished 2.09–1.55.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Colorado Rapids a 4.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: under 1% after a win, 3.1% after a draw, 9.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 3.1%, 1.1 points lower than before the match.
For Minnesota United FC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 55.2% going in: 34.1% after a win, 58.1% after a draw, 68.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 58.1%, 2.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Major League Soccer season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FC has moved
First published on 1 Oct at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is Colorado Rapids's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Colorado Rapids win44%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −2
- Minnesota United FC win30%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.