31 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Columbus Crew vs DC United Major League Soccer prediction & result

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Referee: E. Arreguin
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Columbus Crew 3-0 DC United.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Columbus Crew, 23% draw, 19% DC United — fair odds of 1.72, 4.35 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Columbus Crew at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Sean Zawadzkiassist: Dylan Chambost
16'
22'
•Matti Peltola
24'
⚽Keisuke Kurokawa (pen)
⚽Anass Zarouryassist: Dylan Chambost
41'
45+1'
Kye Rowles
45'
🔁Jared Stroudout: Oscar Avilez
60'
🔁Nathan Ordazout: Brandon Servania
⚽Kimito Nono (OG)
60'
64'
João Gabriel Martins Peglow
70'
🔁Kye Rowlesout: Sean Nealis
🔁Sekou Tidiany Bangouraout: Tarun Karumanchi
71'
🔁Gonzalo Tapiaout: Josef Martínez
71'
🔁Mohamed Farsiout: Marcelo Andrés Herrera
71'
🔁Santiago Rodriguezout: Lautaro Giaccone
74'
🔁Steven Moreiraout: Eric Bailly
84'
84'
🔁Silvan Heftiout: Nikola Marković

Match stats — Columbus Crew vs DC United

62%Possession38%
14Shots9
4On target4
3Corners4
1.1xG1.16

Goals against chances

Columbus Crew3 from 1.10 xGmore than the chances were worth
DC United0 from 1.16 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Columbus Crew 3-4-3
  • 28P. SchulteG
  • 31S. MoreiraD
  • 25S. ZawadzkiD
  • 18M. AmundsenD
  • 23M. FarsiM
  • 7D. ChambostM
  • 17S. BangouraM
  • 21A. ZarouryM
  • 16T. HabrouneF
  • 33G. TapiaF
  • 8S. RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 3E. BaillyD
  • 26L. GiacconeM
  • 1N. HagenG
  • 2M. HerreraD
  • 50T. KarumanchiM
  • 11B. LennonD
  • 77Josef MartínezF
  • 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
  • 19J. ThiaréF
Coach: L. Courtois
DC United 4-4-2
  • 26A. BonoG
  • 5S. HeftiD
  • 3L. BartlettD
  • 15K. RowlesD
  • 6K. KurokawaD
  • 2K. NonoM
  • 4M. PeltolaM
  • 21A. DozzellM
  • 8J. StroudM
  • 22N. OrdazF
  • 7PeglowF
Substitutes
  • 13S. NealisD
  • 23B. ServaniaM
  • 48Gavin TurnerM
  • 27Nikola MarkovicD
  • 25J. HopkinsM
  • 24J. FarrG
  • 40K. CastilloM
  • 32O. AvilezF
  • 12C. AntleyD
Coach: R. Weiler

Form going into Columbus Crew vs DC United

Columbus Crew

Major League Soccer

  • W2-0away to FC Dallas29 October 2026
  • W4-2Toronto FC24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to FC Cincinnati18 October 2026

DC United

Major League Soccer

  • L1-2away to Toronto FC28 October 2026
  • L0-2FC Cincinnati24 October 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Cincinnati21 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Columbus Crew34145155952+747
14DC United34712153961-2233

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Columbus Crew vs DC United

  • 9 September 2026DC United 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 19 July 2025Columbus Crew 2–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 29 March 2025DC United 1–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 28 September 2024DC United 2–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
  • 6 April 2024Columbus Crew 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
  • 8 April 2023DC United 0–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: Columbus Crew and DC United

Columbus Crew

No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 59 league goals as a side.

DC United

GoalsAssists

  • T. Baribo161

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Columbus Crew beat DC United 3–0. The model had made a win for Columbus Crew its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Sean Zawadzki 16' for Columbus Crew, Anass Zaroury 41' for Columbus Crew, Kimito Nono (own goal) 60' for Columbus Crew. On expected goals it finished 1.10–1.16.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Columbus Crew a 78.8% chance to finish in the top nine: 94.1% after a win, 65.3% after a draw, 38.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 94.1%, 15.3 points higher than before the match.

For DC United the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 97.9% going in: 87.6% after a win, 100.0% after a draw, 100.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 100.0%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Major League Soccer season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Columbus Crew v DC United has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 50% / 25% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 58% / 23% / 19%: the biggest move is Columbus Crew's chance of winning, up 8 points.

  1. Columbus Crew win58%▲ +8
  2. Draw23%▼ −2
  3. DC United win19%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.