Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Pohang Steelers 0-2 Johor Darul Takzim FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Pohang Steelers, 26% draw, 35% Johor Darul Takzim FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Pohang Steelers at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Hong Seong-MinG
- 13Kang Min-JunD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-GwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 11Juninho RochaM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 25Jorge LuizM
- 10J. TranziskaF
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 9An Jae-JunF
- 21Hwang In-JaeG
- 12Hwang Jae-HwanF
- 5Jin Si-wooD
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 36H. KimM
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 3Ye-Sung KimD
- 16Ahmad Syihan HazmiG
- 29Carlos AkapoD
- 81K. MedinaD
- 5Cristián GlauderD
- 33J. SilvaD
- 21D. PetrovičM
- 28Nacho MéndezM
- 24Óscar ArribasM
- 10Arif Aiman HanapiM
- 95Marcos GuilhermeM
- 7S. ZahediF
- 58Andoni ZubiaurreG
- 19StoichkovF
- 77Matías NahuelF
- 11JairoF
- 30Natxo InsaM
- 4Afiq FazailM
- 20Dani BoltD
- 44M. CuestaD
- 9BérgsonF
Form going into Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
Pohang Steelers
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-3away to Beijing Guoan15 September 2026
Johor Darul Takzim FC
AFC Champions League Elite
- D1-1Buriram United15 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pohang Steelers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
| 7 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
- 18 February 2025Johor Darul Takzim FC 5–2 Pohang SteelersAFC Champions League Elite
- 1 July 2021Johor Darul Takzim FC 0–2 Pohang SteelersAFC Champions League
- 28 June 2021Pohang Steelers 4–1 Johor Darul Takzim FCAFC Champions League
Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and Johor Darul Takzim FC
Pohang Steelers
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Johor Darul Takzim FC
GoalsAssists
- Marcos Guilherme21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Johor Darul Takzim FC won 2–0 at Pohang Steelers. The model had leaned towards a win for Pohang Steelers at 39% and given a win for Johor Darul Takzim FC 35%. The goals: Marcos Guilherme 49' for Johor Darul Takzim FC, Marcos Guilherme 89' for Johor Darul Takzim FC. Sent off: Jeon Min-kwang (Pohang Steelers) 45+1'. On expected goals it finished 0.43–2.58.
How the call on Pohang Steelers v Johor Darul Takzim FC has moved
First published on 29 Sep at 40% / 27% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 26% / 35%: the biggest move is Johor Darul Takzim FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Pohang Steelers win39%▼ −1
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Johor Darul Takzim FC win35%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.