29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coventry vs Hull City Premier League prediction & result

Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Coventry 0-1 Hull City.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Coventry, 29% draw, 36% Hull City — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hull City at 36% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Coventry0%Draw4%Hull City96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Lewie Coyle
46'
🔁L. Coyleout: C. Drameh
46'
🔁H. Moritaout: L. Gourna-Douath
51'
Regan Slater
54'
Elliot Stroud
🔁E. Mason-Clarkout: B. Thomas-Asante
58'
🔁L. Tchaounaout: T. Sakamoto
59'
59'
🔁N. Mendyout: L. Herrington
59'
🔁E. Stroudout: L. Millar
68'
Oli McBurnie
🔁C. Yirenkyiout: V. Torp
71'
🔁J. Rudoniout: G. Hamer
71'
🔁B. Thomasout: E. Pinnock
78'
82'
⚽L. Millarassist: M. Belloumi
83'
🔁M. Belloumiout: M. Cho
Aurèle Amenda
84'

Match stats — Coventry vs Hull City

69%Possession31%
11Shots5
3On target2
6Corners2
1.28xG0.72

Goals against chances

Coventry0 from 1.28 xGless than the chances were worth
Hull City1 from 0.72 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Coventry 4-2-3-1
  • 19C. RushworthG
  • 27M. van EwijkD
  • 4B. ThomasD
  • 24A. AmendaD
  • 3J. DasilvaD
  • 8C. YirenkyiM
  • 6M. GrimesM
  • 18L. TchaounaM
  • 5J. RudoniM
  • 10E. Mason-ClarkM
  • 14T. AwoniyiF
Substitutes
  • 25D. BentleyG
  • 2E. PinnockD
  • 15L. KitchingD
  • 29V. TorpM
  • 22J. LatibeaudiereD
  • 9E. SimmsF
  • 7T. SakamotoM
  • 38G. HamerM
  • 23B. Thomas-AsanteF
Coach: Frank Lampard
Hull City 5-4-1
  • 19K. TzolakisG
  • 2L. CoyleD
  • 6S. AjayiD
  • 15J. EganD
  • 32N. MendyD
  • 3R. GilesD
  • 10M. BelloumiM
  • 27R. SlaterM
  • 5H. MoritaM
  • 21E. StroudM
  • 9O. McBurnieF
Substitutes
  • 12D. PhillipsG
  • 17P. McNairD
  • 18C. DramehD
  • 23M. TargettD
  • 22L. HerringtonD
  • 29L. Gourna-DouathM
  • 14J. Hjerto-DahlM
  • 7L. MillarF
  • 50M. ChoF
Coach: Sergej Jakirovic

Form going into Coventry vs Hull City

Coventry

  • L0-3away to Arsenal21 August 2026

Hull City

  • W2-0Manchester United22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
20Coventry4004010-100
4Hull City422052+38

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Coventry vs Hull City

  • 29 August 2026Coventry 0–1 Hull CityPremier League
  • 6 April 2026Hull City 0–0 CoventryChampionship
  • 9 August 2025Coventry 0–0 Hull CityChampionship
  • 14 April 2025Hull City 1–1 CoventryChampionship
  • 14 December 2024Coventry 2–1 Hull CityChampionship
  • 24 April 2024Coventry 2–3 Hull CityChampionship

Leading scorers: Coventry and Hull City

Coventry

No league goals yet this season.

Hull City

  • M. Belloumi2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.