Coventry vs Hull City Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Coventry 0-1 Hull City.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Coventry, 29% draw, 36% Hull City — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hull City at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Coventry vs Hull City
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 19C. RushworthG
- 27M. van EwijkD
- 4B. ThomasD
- 24A. AmendaD
- 3J. DasilvaD
- 8C. YirenkyiM
- 6M. GrimesM
- 18L. TchaounaM
- 5J. RudoniM
- 10E. Mason-ClarkM
- 14T. AwoniyiF
- 25D. BentleyG
- 2E. PinnockD
- 15L. KitchingD
- 29V. TorpM
- 22J. LatibeaudiereD
- 9E. SimmsF
- 7T. SakamotoM
- 38G. HamerM
- 23B. Thomas-AsanteF
- 19K. TzolakisG
- 2L. CoyleD
- 6S. AjayiD
- 15J. EganD
- 32N. MendyD
- 3R. GilesD
- 10M. BelloumiM
- 27R. SlaterM
- 5H. MoritaM
- 21E. StroudM
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 12D. PhillipsG
- 17P. McNairD
- 18C. DramehD
- 23M. TargettD
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 29L. Gourna-DouathM
- 14J. Hjerto-DahlM
- 7L. MillarF
- 50M. ChoF
Form going into Coventry vs Hull City
Coventry
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Arsenal21 August 2026
Hull City
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Manchester United22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Coventry vs Hull City
- 6 April 2026Hull City 0–0 CoventryChampionship
- 9 August 2025Coventry 0–0 Hull CityChampionship
- 14 April 2025Hull City 1–1 CoventryChampionship
- 14 December 2024Coventry 2–1 Hull CityChampionship
- 24 April 2024Coventry 2–3 Hull CityChampionship
Leading scorers: Coventry and Hull City
Coventry
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Hull City
GoalsAssists
- M. Belloumi32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hull City won 1–0 at Coventry. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hull City at 36%. The goal: L. Millar 82' for Hull City. On expected goals it finished 1.28–0.72.