31 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

CS Constantine vs USM Alger Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time0 – 2

Final score: CS Constantine 0-2 USM Alger.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% CS Constantine, 25% draw, 39% USM Alger — fair odds of 2.78, 4.00 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

USM Alger at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CS Constantine0%Draw1%USM Alger99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽M. Ramdaoui
40'
⚽M. Ramdaoui
46'
🔁M. Bouderbalaout: H. Loucif
🔁M. Rebiaiout: J. Atibu
46'
🔁M. Bakirout: O. Meddahi
46'
🔁M. Belgouraiout: D. Bizimana
46'
46'
🔁M. Bouderbalaout: H. Loucif
65'
🔁M. Ramdaouiout: D. Kamagate
65'
🔁F. Boulayaout: A. Tendeng
🔁Y. Zeghadout: M. Ayoun
75'
78'
🔁A. Khaldiout: G. Guenaoui

Form going into CS Constantine vs USM Alger

CS Constantine

Ligue 1

  • L0-3away to Olympique Akbou23 October 2026
  • L2-4JS El Biar17 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Khenchela12 October 2026

USM Alger

Ligue 1

  • D2-2CR Belouizdad24 October 2026
  • W1-0JS Saoura13 October 2026
  • L0-1away to MB Rouisset8 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Olympique Akbou19 September 2026

What these results say

  • USM Alger scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • USM Alger conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14CS Constantine92161118-77
6USM Alger7421105+514

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CS Constantine vs USM Alger

  • 8 March 2026USM Alger 0–0 CS ConstantineLigue 1
  • 4 October 2025CS Constantine 1–1 USM AlgerLigue 1
  • 11 May 2025USM Alger 2–1 CS ConstantineLigue 1
  • 9 April 2025USM Alger 1–1 CS ConstantineCAF Confederation Cup
  • 2 April 2025CS Constantine 1–1 USM AlgerCAF Confederation Cup
  • 21 November 2024CS Constantine 1–0 USM AlgerLigue 1

The result against the call

USM Alger won 2–0 at CS Constantine. The model had made a win for USM Alger its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Ramdaoui 12' for USM Alger, M. Ramdaoui 40' for USM Alger.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave CS Constantine a 33.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 25.8% after a win, 34.8% after a draw, 38.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.2%, 5 points higher than before the match.

For USM Alger the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 12.0% going in: 15.1% after a win, 11.4% after a draw, 8.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.1%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on CS Constantine v USM Alger has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 38% / 28% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 36% / 25% / 39%: the biggest move is USM Alger's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. CS Constantine win36%▼ −2
  2. Draw25%▼ −3
  3. USM Alger win39%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.