31 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

MC Alger vs Khenchela Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time2 – 0

Final score: MC Alger 2-0 Khenchela.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% MC Alger, 26% draw, 16% Khenchela — fair odds of 1.72, 3.85 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MC Alger at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MC Alger99%Draw1%Khenchela0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Ghezala
2'
⚽S. Bayazid
68'

Form going into MC Alger vs Khenchela

MC Alger

Ligue 1

  • W1-0away to US Biskra27 October 2026
  • D1-1away to ASO Chlef13 October 2026

Khenchela

Ligue 1

  • L0-3JS Kabylie24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to MC Oran17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3MC Alger751192+716
12Khenchela9144510-57

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MC Alger vs Khenchela

  • 17 March 2026MC Alger 2–1 KhenchelaLigue 1
  • 13 December 2025MC Alger 2–1 KhenchelaCoupe Nationale
  • 30 October 2025Khenchela 0–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
  • 15 March 2025MC Alger 2–2 KhenchelaLigue 1
  • 18 October 2024Khenchela 0–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
  • 11 May 2024Khenchela 1–1 MC AlgerLigue 1

The result against the call

MC Alger beat Khenchela 2–0. The model had made a win for MC Alger its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Ghezala 2' for MC Alger, S. Bayazid 68' for MC Alger.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave MC Alger a 41.9% chance to finish in the top two: 45.7% after a win, 36.3% after a draw, 32.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.7%, 3.8 points higher than before the match.

For Khenchela the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 32.1% going in: 22.8% after a win, 29.6% after a draw, 34.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 34.7%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on MC Alger v Khenchela has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 51% / 28% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 58% / 26% / 16%: the biggest move is MC Alger's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. MC Alger win58%▲ +7
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Khenchela win16%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.