SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: SCR Altach 1-2 TSV Hartberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% SCR Altach, 17% draw, 10% TSV Hartberg — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SCR Altach at 73% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Dejan StojanovićG
- 27Filip MilojevicD
- 23Benedikt ZechD
- 17Lukas JägerD
- 29Niklas NiehoffM
- 6Vesel DemakuM
- 8Mike-Steven BähreM
- 37Benjamin BöckleM
- 19Srđan HrstićF
- 10Ousmane DiawaraF
- 18Patrick GreilF
- 9Marko RagužF
- 20Erkin YalcinF
- 31Daniel AntoschG
- 4Henrique BellD
- 16Rassa RahmaniD
- 21Jakob BrandtnerD
- 24Salif TietiettaM
- 34Adrian VonbrulM
- 7Denizcan CosgunM
- 91Ármin PécsiG
- 7Angelo GattermayerD
- 18Fabian WilfingerD
- 27Konstantin SchoppD
- 14Paul KomposchD
- 6Habib Anas CoulibalyD
- 23Tobias KainzM
- 5Youba DiarraM
- 4Benjamin MarkušM
- 22Marco HoffmannF
- 10Oliver LukićF
- 16Magnus DalpiazD
- 95Nikolaus FeldhoferM
- 21Luka MarićG
- 19Lukas SpendlhoferD
- 28Florian GerstlM
- 17Jonas KarnerM
- 77David KorherrF
- 11Jed DrewF
- 70Chilohem OnuohaF
Form going into SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
- L0-1away to Sturm Graz15 August 2026
- W3-1WSG Wattens7 August 2026
TSV Hartberg
- L0-2Austria Vienna16 August 2026
- L0-2Sturm Graz8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs TSV Hartberg
- 22 August 2026SCR Altach 1–2 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 14 February 2026TSV Hartberg 0–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 25 October 2025SCR Altach 2–2 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 4 May 2025TSV Hartberg 2–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 19 April 2025SCR Altach 1–1 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 23 February 2025SCR Altach 0–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
Leading scorers: SCR Altach and TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
- Y. Massombo2 goals
TSV Hartberg
- C. Hoffmann2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.