CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Sofia 0-0 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% CSKA Sofia, 27% draw, 16% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 1.75, 3.70 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
CSKA Sofia at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
Line-ups
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 17Á. MartinoD
- 2PastorD
- 32Facundo Santiago RodríguezD
- 14T. IvanovD
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 7M. EbongM
- 8S. SensiM
- 28I. PittasF
- 9S. GodoyF
- 11M. BrahimiF
- 4Dinis AlmeidaD
- 37B. CotterD
- 99J. Eto'oM
- 25D. EvtimovG
- 5J. GbaminM
- 67C. ItuM
- 3Tamimou OuorouM
- 30P. PanayotovM
- 94I. Solet BomawokoM
- 99I. AndonovG
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 26D. BurovD
- 24L. MarinD
- 4N. SavićD
- 77E. StoevF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 27Umaro BaldéF
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
- 3M. GeorgievD
- 19E. GogevF
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 5David MalembanaD
- 10V. NikolovM
- 63L. NtumbaG
- 7R. RaychevF
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
- 8Petrov Georgi ShopovF
Form going into CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
First League
- W2-0Ludogorets26 October 2026
- W3-2away to CSKA 194811 October 2026
- D1-1away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv20 September 2026
Slavia Sofia
First League
- D0-0away to Lokomotiv Plovdiv26 October 2026
- L0-1away to Botev Plovdiv10 October 2026
- L1-2CSKA 194818 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia
- 20 July 2026Slavia Sofia 0–0 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 21 February 2026CSKA Sofia 1–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 30 August 2025Slavia Sofia 2–2 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 8 February 2025Slavia Sofia 1–0 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 17 August 2024CSKA Sofia 0–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 5 December 2023Slavia Sofia 0–1 CSKA SofiaCup
Leading scorers: CSKA Sofia and Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Jordão20
- I. Pittas10
Slavia Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Sofia and Slavia Sofia drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for CSKA Sofia at 57% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave CSKA Sofia a 25.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 29.0% after a win, 22.3% after a draw, 15.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 22.3%, 3.5 points lower than before the match.
For Slavia Sofia the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 11.0% going in: 5.0% after a win, 8.8% after a draw, 12.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 8.8%, 2.2 points lower than before the match.
Read from our First League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.