31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia First League prediction & result

Gradski stadion, Ruse
Referee: Marijan Grebencharski
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-1 Levski Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 15% Dunav Ruse, 23% draw, 62% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 6.67, 4.35 and 1.61.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Levski Sofia at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dunav Ruse2%Draw92%Levski Sofia6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁jose cabarcasout: Elisee Sou
13'
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski
23'
58'
🔁Juan Pereaout: Mustapha Sangaré
58'
🔁Akram Bourasout: Mazire Soula
🔁Kristiyan Boychevout: Stojan Predev
60'
71'
🔁Mehdi Moubarikout: Marko Grujić
71'
🔁Reinaldo Nascimento Satornoout: Armstrong Oko-Flex
Radoslav Apostolov
77'
🔁jordan louis saintout: Ibrahim Keita
77'
🔁Alexander Valiño Navasalout: Ilker Budinov
77'
🔁Andre Alvesout: Kyriakos Antoniou
77'
82'
Kristian Dimitrov
84'
🔁Kristian Dimitrovout: Steven Stoyanchov
90+3'
⚽Mustapha Sangaré
90+3'

Match stats — Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia

23%Possession77%
6Shots23
1On target6
1Corners10

Line-ups

Dunav Ruse 4-2-3-1
  • 33G. KitanovG
  • 39Andre AlvesD
  • 93B. ChorbadzhiyskiD
  • 4J. CabarcasD
  • 88D. TodorovD
  • 14R. ApostolovM
  • 17N. FonkeuM
  • 2M. DilchovskiD
  • 10K. BoychevM
  • 23Jordan Layn Saint-LouisM
  • 9Álex ValiñoF
Substitutes
  • 5K. AntoniouD
  • 1B. ŻelazowskiG
  • 6S. YovkovD
  • 44V. VidakovićM
  • 19S. StefanovM
  • 78Elisee SouM
  • 77A. SimeonovF
  • 22S. PredevD
  • 18I. KeïtaF
Coach: G. Chilikov
Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
  • 13O. VladimirovG
  • 21AldairD
  • 50K. DimitrovD
  • 4C. MakounD
  • 3MaiconF
  • 19E. El MoubarikM
  • 47A. BourasM
  • 17Everton BalaF
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 9J. PereaF
Substitutes
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 20Álex CentellesD
  • 8M. GrujićM
  • 2Hevertton SantosD
  • 55P. HristovD
  • 27David KussoF
  • 11A. Oko-FlexF
  • 12M. SangaréF
  • 22M. SoulaM
Coach: Julio Velázquez

Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia

Dunav Ruse

First League

  • W2-0Spartak Varna24 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Septemvri Sofia11 October 2026
  • D2-2Botev Vratsa19 September 2026

Levski Sofia

First League

  • D1-1away to Arda Kardzhali27 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Cherno More Varna11 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Botev Vratsa13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Dunav Ruse143381623-712
2Levski Sofia131021258+1732

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia

  • 17 July 2026Levski Sofia 2–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 14 December 2024Levski Sofia 1–0 Dunav RuseCup
  • 22 November 2023Dunav Ruse 1–3 Levski SofiaCup
  • 31 October 2019Levski Sofia 2–0 Dunav RuseFirst League
  • 15 July 2019Dunav Ruse 1–4 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 1 December 2018Levski Sofia 3–0 Dunav RuseFirst League

Leading scorers: Dunav Ruse and Levski Sofia

Dunav Ruse

GoalsAssists

  • I. Budinov11
  • Andre Alves10

Levski Sofia

No player in First League's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Levski Sofia won 1–0 at Dunav Ruse. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 62%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Mustapha Sangaré 90+3' for Levski Sofia.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dunav Ruse a 23.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 12.6% after a win, 20.5% after a draw, 26.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.2%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

For Levski Sofia the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 56.0% going in: 60.8% after a win, 48.2% after a draw, 44.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.8%, 4.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our First League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dunav Ruse v Levski Sofia has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 14% / 21% / 65% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 15% / 23% / 62%: the biggest move is Levski Sofia's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Dunav Ruse win15%▲ +1
  2. Draw23%▲ +2
  3. Levski Sofia win62%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.