18 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE NB I prediction & result

Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Debreceni VSC 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Debreceni VSC, 26% draw, 30% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Debreceni VSC at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Debreceni VSC99%Draw1%Zalaegerszegi TE0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
Filipe Engin Neves Çelikkaya
⚽Ákos Szendreiassist: Imre egri
43'
Adrián Guerrero Aguilar
45+2'
45'
🔁Fabricio Amatoout: Arthur Henrique Marques Machado
56'
Diogo Antônio Rodrigues da Silva
🔁Imre egriout: Sohan Baldoni
61'
🔁Vilmos Csanad Denesout: Dominik Kocsis
61'
⚽Sohan Baldoniassist: Dominik Kocsis
62'
71'
Bence Kiss
🔁Balazs Dzsudzsakout: florian cibla
72'
🔁Maximilian Hofmannout: Sergi Samper
72'
72'
🔁Bence Babosout: Lucas Alfonso
72'
🔁Bence Kissout: Aiden Harangi
🔁Josua Mejiasout: Julien Da Costa
78'
Julien Da Costa
81'
86'
🔁András Mátyás Csonkaout: Nicolás Elosú Larumbe
86'
🔁Emin Kujovicout: Marlon Santos Teodoro
blaz boskovic
89'
⚽Sohan Baldoniassist: Dominik Kocsis
90+4'
•Sohan Baldoni
90+4'

Match stats — Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE

56%Possession44%
15Shots13
11On target5
4Corners5
1.27xG1.01

Goals against chances

Debreceni VSC3 from 1.27 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zalaegerszegi TE0 from 1.01 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Debreceni VSC 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. AndreevG
  • 4J. MejíasD
  • 28M. HofmannD
  • 26Á. LangD
  • 3Adrián GuerreroD
  • 5B. BatikM
  • 6B. BoškovićM
  • 24I. EgriM
  • 10B. DzsudzsákM
  • 97C. DenesM
  • 11Á. SzendreiF
Substitutes
  • 25S. BaldoniF
  • 66J. JannehM
  • 39B. AdinanyF
  • 40David HermannD
  • 12B. ErdélyiG
  • 72R. KellerD
  • 19D. KocsisM
  • 96J. DacostaD
  • 99F. CiblaM
Coach: Gert Remmel
Zalaegerszegi TE 4-4-2
  • 1B. Gundel-TakácsG
  • 8A. CsonkaD
  • 13T. PeñalbaD
  • 33Antonio DiogoD
  • 18CalderónD
  • 74B. BabosM
  • 30F. AmatoM
  • 6E. KujovićM
  • 10B. KissM
  • 9Matheus MachadoF
  • 7Danylo KrevsunF
Substitutes
  • 2Aiden Joshua HarangiD
  • 80MarlonF
  • 4J. PerazaD
  • 20M. RichardsM
  • 32L. AlfonsoF
  • 15Nicolás Elosú LarumbeM
  • 79Mihály LakosG
  • 14Jude MadakiM
  • 77Arthur HenriqueF
Coach: Filipe Çelikkaya

Form going into Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE

Debreceni VSC

NB I

  • D1-1away to Ferencvarosi TC10 October 2026

Zalaegerszegi TE

NB I

  • W5-1Nyiregyhaza11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Debreceni VSC136432418+622
9Zalaegerszegi TE134181724-713

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Debreceni VSC vs Zalaegerszegi TE

  • 22 February 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 1–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 2 November 2025Debreceni VSC 2–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 26 July 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 3–3 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 19 April 2025Debreceni VSC 4–3 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
  • 14 December 2024Zalaegerszegi TE 2–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
  • 31 August 2024Debreceni VSC 3–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I

Leading scorers: Debreceni VSC and Zalaegerszegi TE

Debreceni VSC

GoalsAssists

  • Á. Szendrei62
  • B. Dzsudzsák42
  • C. Denes33

Zalaegerszegi TE

GoalsAssists

  • Arthur Henrique30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Debreceni VSC beat Zalaegerszegi TE 3–0. The model had made a win for Debreceni VSC its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ákos Szendrei 43' for Debreceni VSC, Sohan Baldoni 62' for Debreceni VSC, Sohan Baldoni 90+4' for Debreceni VSC. On expected goals it finished 1.27–1.01.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Debreceni VSC a 27.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 22.0% after a win, 29.8% after a draw, 34.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.0%, 5.7 points lower than before the match.

For Zalaegerszegi TE the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 39.5% going in: 29.4% after a win, 39.9% after a draw, 45.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.3%, 5.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Debreceni VSC v Zalaegerszegi TE has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 43% / 28% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.

  1. Debreceni VSC win44%▲ +1
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Zalaegerszegi TE win30%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.