Dinamo Brest vs FC Gomel Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Brest 2-2 FC Gomel.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Dinamo Brest, 26% draw, 24% FC Gomel — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Brest at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Brest vs FC Gomel
Line-ups
- 35I. MalashchitskiyG
- 3K. GlushchenkovD
- 18N. StepanovD
- 11D. LevitskiyD
- 77R. YuzepchukM
- 99I. ZenkovM
- 19D. GrechikhoM
- 44A. ButarevichM
- 36Guilherme GuedesM
- 24E. KortsovF
- 7D. BakićF
- 21A. NechaevG
- 4Ž. PopovićM
- 42N. BurakM
- 6E. KhralenkovD
- 88D. KovalevichF
- 5M. KovelD
- 25V. LozhkinF
- 23V. LyakhD
- 44S. KleshchukG
- 17V. MartinkevichD
- 16I. ZayatsD
- 90G. KukushkinD
- 14P. PashevichD
- 23K. DanilinM
- 33V. SotnikovM
- 77V. LazarevM
- 19D. SilinskiyM
- 21D. KovalevichM
- 11T. SimanenkaF
- 8E. BarsukovM
- 4A. GavrilovichD
- 49A. KaratayG
- 13M. MardasF
- 3S. MatveychikD
- 43D. ShaykhtdinovD
- 66Roman ShapovalovF
Form going into Dinamo Brest vs FC Gomel
Dinamo Brest
Premier League
- W1-0away to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk9 October 2026
FC Gomel
Premier League
- L1-5ML Vitebsk11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 29 | +21 | 51 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Brest vs FC Gomel
- 30 May 2026FC Gomel 2–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
- 1 February 2026Dinamo Brest 3–1 FC GomelFriendlies Clubs
- 7 November 2025FC Gomel 3–0 Dinamo BrestPremier League
- 21 June 2025Dinamo Brest 0–1 FC GomelPremier League
- 27 September 2024FC Gomel 2–1 Dinamo BrestPremier League
Leading scorers: Dinamo Brest and FC Gomel
Dinamo Brest
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.
FC Gomel
GoalsAssists
- V. Sotnikov22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Brest and FC Gomel drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Brest at 50% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Timofey Simanenka 6' for FC Gomel, Egor Kortsov 12' for Dinamo Brest, Denis·Kovalevich 37' for FC Gomel, Egor Kortsov 77' for Dinamo Brest.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Brest a 60.6% chance to finish in the top four: 73.2% after a win, 54.9% after a draw, 39.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 54.9%, 5.7 points lower than before the match.
For FC Gomel the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 8.8% going in: 21.7% after a win, 8.3% after a draw, 2.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 8.3%, 0.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Dinamo Brest v FC Gomel has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Dinamo Brest's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Dinamo Brest win50%▲ +9
- Draw26%▼ −3
- FC Gomel win24%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.