31 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Dinamo Brest vs FC Vitebsk Premier League prediction & result

Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy, Brest
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Dinamo Brest 3-1 FC Vitebsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Dinamo Brest, 27% draw, 22% FC Vitebsk — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Brest at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Brest99%Draw1%FC Vitebsk0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽Marin Zgomba
⚽Dusan Bakicassist: Roman Yuzepchuk
12'
⚽Dusan Bakicassist: Roman Yuzepchuk
36'
Dusan Bakic
42'
43'
Mikhail Bashilov
45'
Semen Egorov
Denis Grechikho
45'
45'
🔁Sergey Tikhonovskiyout: Roman·Lisovsky
🔁Vladislav Lyakhout: Denis Levitskiy
45'
45'
🔁Evgeniy Novykhout: Aleksandr Anufriev
⚽Dusan Bakicassist: ivan zenkov
48'
66'
🔁Marin Zgombaout: Zakhar Chervyakov
66'
🔁Daniil Pesnyakout: Evgeni Krasnov
🔁Dusan Bakicout: D. Kovalevich
71'
🔁Denis Grechikhoout: Nikita Burak
71'
83'
🔁Yevhen Protasovout: Aleksandr Radin
🔁Kirill·Glushenkovout: Aleksei Lavrik
83'
🔁Egor Kortsovout: Lozhkin Vladzislau
84'
D. Kovalevich
90+1'

Match stats — Dinamo Brest vs FC Vitebsk

43%Possession57%
7Shots13
5On target8
3Corners8

Line-ups

Dinamo Brest 3-5-2
  • 35I. MalashchitskiyG
  • 3K. GlushchenkovD
  • 18N. StepanovD
  • 36Guilherme GuedesD
  • 77R. YuzepchukM
  • 99I. ZenkovM
  • 19D. GrechikhoM
  • 44A. ButarevichM
  • 23V. LyakhM
  • 7D. BakićF
  • 24E. KortsovF
Substitutes
  • 42N. BurakM
  • 25V. LozhkinF
  • 5M. KovelD
  • 20A. SpasovM
  • 21A. NechaevG
  • 11D. LevitskiyD
  • 55A. LavrikD
  • 6E. KhralenkovD
  • 88D. KovalevichF
Coach: A. Sednev
FC Vitebsk 4-4-2
  • 50N. GoyloG
  • 17E. NovykhD
  • 15M. KuntsevichD
  • 6K. RodionovD
  • 22S. EgorovD
  • 11A. GurenkoM
  • 88E. FrazzoniM
  • 30Mikhail BashilovM
  • 10Y. ProtasovM
  • 86M. ŽgombaF
  • 26S. TikhonovskiyF
Substitutes
  • 14Z. ChervyakovF
  • 20E. KrasnovM
  • 8A. AnufrievM
  • 7R. LisovskiyM
  • 66A. RadinF
  • 1I. NovichkovG
  • 24Ivan KravchenkoD
Coach: S. Gurenko

Form going into Dinamo Brest vs FC Vitebsk

Dinamo Brest

Premier League

  • W4-1away to Neman25 October 2026
  • D2-2FC Gomel17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk9 October 2026

FC Vitebsk

Premier League

  • L0-2ML Vitebsk24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Baranovichi17 October 2026
  • D0-0FC Isloch Minsk R.11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Dinamo Brest2815675029+2151
7FC Vitebsk28117103027+340

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Brest vs FC Vitebsk

  • 20 June 2026FC Vitebsk 1–2 Dinamo BrestPremier League
  • 11 February 2026Dinamo Brest 4–3 FC VitebskFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 October 2025Dinamo Brest 2–1 FC VitebskPremier League
  • 23 May 2025FC Vitebsk 1–3 Dinamo BrestPremier League
  • 24 November 2024FC Vitebsk 2–0 Dinamo BrestPremier League
  • 28 June 2024Dinamo Brest 1–1 FC VitebskPremier League

The result against the call

Dinamo Brest beat FC Vitebsk 3–1. The model had made a win for Dinamo Brest its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Marin Zgomba 7' for FC Vitebsk, Dusan Bakic 12' for Dinamo Brest, Dusan Bakic 36' for Dinamo Brest, Dusan Bakic 48' for Dinamo Brest.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Brest a 95.0% chance to finish in the top four: 98.6% after a win, 93.1% after a draw, 87.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 98.6%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Dinamo Brest v FC Vitebsk has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Dinamo Brest's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Dinamo Brest win51%▲ +3
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. FC Vitebsk win22%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.