15 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr Premier League prediction & result

Stadion Dinamo, Minsk
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Dinamo Minsk 3-1 Slavia Mozyr.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% Dinamo Minsk, 23% draw, 15% Slavia Mozyr — fair odds of 1.61, 4.35 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Minsk at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Minsk99%Draw1%Slavia Mozyr0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Aleksey Ivanov
39'
48'
Aleksandr Dzhigero
⚽Evgeni Malashevichassist: Artem Sokolovskiy
53'
⚽karen vardanyanassist: Moustapha Djimet
65'
66'
🔁Evgeni Shevchenkoout: Aleksandr Batichev
67'
🔁Aleksey Antilevskiout: Ricky Stephane Ngatchou Kamtchouang
🔁Fawaz·Abdullahiout: Vladislav Poloz
68'
🔁karen vardanyanout: Leonard Chatelin·Gweth
68'
68'
🔁Nikita Romanovout: Terentiy Lutsevich
Aleksandr Selyava
69'
⚽Vladislav Poloz
78'
79'
🔁Aleksandr Derzhinskiyout: Ilya Verenich
🔁Evgeni Malashevichout: Aleksey Zhechko
79'
79'
🔁Aleksandr Dzhigeroout: Dimitri Yashin
🔁Aleksey Ivanovout: Roman Begunov
82'
🔁Moustapha Djimetout: Gulzhigit Alykulov
82'
87'
Kirill Chernook
90+3'
⚽Kirill Chernook
Leonard Chatelin·Gweth
90+6'

Match stats — Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr

58%Possession42%
13Shots4
6On target1
7Corners3

Line-ups

Dinamo Minsk 3-4-3
  • 1I. ShimakovichG
  • 8A. SelyavaD
  • 12A. IvanovD
  • 26V. KalininD
  • 7E. MalashevichM
  • 42F. AbdullahiM
  • 30M. DjimetM
  • 24A. VakulichM
  • 44G. GurbanF
  • 10K. VardanyanF
  • 78A. SokolovskiyF
Substitutes
  • 80L. GwethF
  • 17I. BakharF
  • 47A. KudravetsG
  • 2M. DubatovkaD
  • 3M. ShvetsovD
  • 67R. BegunovD
  • 11G. AlykulovM
  • 13V. PolozM
  • 19R. GuiberoF
Coach: A. Shagoyko
Slavia Mozyr 4-5-1
  • 1K. VeretynskiyG
  • 11A. AntilevskiyD
  • 6Y. KuznetsovD
  • 18N. MelnikovD
  • 2A. ShemrukD
  • 17K. ChernookM
  • 49A. DzhigeroM
  • 21E. ShevchenkoM
  • 27Pavel ChikidaM
  • 19A. DerzhinskiyM
  • 7N. RomanovF
Substitutes
  • 30V. LikhtinM
  • 44T. LutsevichF
  • 13Nikita ZelimovF
  • 3Ricky NgatchouD
  • 23V. IgnatjevG
  • 9O. BatyshchevM
  • 88D. YashinD
  • 16E. AbramovichG
  • 20I. VerenichF
Coach: I. Bionchik

Form going into Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr

Dinamo Minsk

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to FC Dnepr Mogilev11 October 2026
  • D0-0SC Braga13 August 2026
  • L0-1away to SC Braga6 August 2026
  • L0-1Neftchi Baku30 July 2026
  • W4-2away to Neftchi Baku22 July 2026

Slavia Mozyr

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Bate Borisov10 October 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Dinamo Minsk2819455123+2861
10Slavia Mozyr2897123638-234

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr

  • 21 March 2026Slavia Mozyr 1–2 Dinamo MinskPremier League
  • 21 February 2026Slavia Mozyr 1–3 Dinamo MinskFriendlies Clubs
  • 24 August 2025Dinamo Minsk 3–1 Slavia MozyrPremier League
  • 13 April 2025Slavia Mozyr 3–0 Dinamo MinskPremier League
  • 19 October 2024Dinamo Minsk 2–0 Slavia MozyrPremier League

Leading scorers: Dinamo Minsk and Slavia Mozyr

Dinamo Minsk

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 51 league goals as a side.

Slavia Mozyr

GoalsAssists

  • T. Lutsevich21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Minsk a 30.7% chance to finish top of the regular season: 35.7% after a win, 21.4% after a draw, 15.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 35.7%, 5 points higher than before the match.

For Slavia Mozyr the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 3.0% going in: under 1% after a win, 1.5% after a draw, 3.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.7%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.