15 October 2026, 17:30 UTC

ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Premier League prediction & result

Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Full time2 – 0

Final score: ML Vitebsk 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% ML Vitebsk, 19% draw, 13% Torpedo Zhodino — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

ML Vitebsk at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ML Vitebsk99%Draw1%Torpedo Zhodino0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Denilho Cleoniseassist: Radivoj Bosić
38'
🔁Radivoj Bosićout: M. Bulanov
57'
63'
🔁Aleksandr Lomovitskiyout: Grigoriy Martyanov
63'
🔁Timofey Sharkovskiyout: Vladislav Nalivayko
🔁Aleksandar Mesarovicout: Valeri Gromyko
66'
🔁Silas Gnakaout: Ode abdullahi
66'
⚽Artem Kontsevoyassist: Denilho Cleonise
73'
75'
🔁Aleksandr Frantsuzovout: Dmitriy Yusov
75'
🔁Kirill Premudrovout: Maxim Gaevoy
🔁Artem Kontsevoyout: Timur Ivanov
78'
🔁Denilho Cleoniseout: Milad Mohammadi
78'
81'
🔁Artem Bykovout: Arseniy Ageev

Match stats — ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

59%Possession41%
10Shots4
3On target1
4Corners1

Line-ups

ML Vitebsk 4-3-3
  • 1P. PavlyuchenkoG
  • 22Y. SkibskiyD
  • 20Z. VolkovD
  • 6K. GomanovD
  • 45I. MoskalenchikD
  • 8S. GnakaM
  • 15V. BocherovM
  • 27A. MesarovićM
  • 10D. CleoniseF
  • 80A. KontsevoyF
  • 12R. BosićF
Substitutes
  • 30Pavel ShcherbachenyaG
  • 3N. BaranokD
  • 5M. MohammadiD
  • 7T. IvanovF
  • 4A. OdeM
  • 55V. GromykoM
  • 23S. BalanovichD
  • 90I. GrudkoF
  • 99M. BulanovF
Coach: Juan Díaz
Torpedo Zhodino 4-3-3
  • 25T. YurasovG
  • 30V. PobudeyD
  • 3Yevhen ChagovetsD
  • 13A. ZaleskiyD
  • 96V. MelkoD
  • 68D. ZhulpaM
  • 6K. PremudrovM
  • 7A. BykovM
  • 11A. LomovitskiyF
  • 89A. FrantsuzovF
  • 10T. SharkovskiyF
Substitutes
  • 47V. NalivaykoF
  • 28D. YusovF
  • 9G. PetrosyanF
  • 27M. GaevoyM
  • 14M. LadutkoM
  • 66A. AgeevD
  • 4V. ManaevD
  • 99M. MaslennikovG
  • 20G. MartjanovD
Coach: Denis Karolik

Form going into ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

ML Vitebsk

All competitions we cover

  • W5-1away to FC Gomel11 October 2026
  • W1-0Borac Banja Luka13 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Borac Banja Luka6 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Sutjeska30 July 2026
  • W3-0Sutjeska23 July 2026

Torpedo Zhodino

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to FC Minsk10 October 2026

What these results say

  • ML Vitebsk won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • ML Vitebsk scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1ML Vitebsk2818826119+4262
8Torpedo Zhodino28106123536-136

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

  • 21 March 2026Torpedo Zhodino 0–1 ML VitebskPremier League
  • 13 September 2025ML Vitebsk 0–1 Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League
  • 8 May 2025ML Vitebsk 0–1 Torpedo ZhodinoCoppa
  • 27 April 2025Torpedo Zhodino 1–1 ML VitebskPremier League
  • 16 April 2025Torpedo Zhodino 0–0 ML VitebskCoppa

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ML Vitebsk a 55.9% chance to finish top of the regular season: 60.9% after a win, 43.6% after a draw, 33.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.9%, 5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.