Doncaster
vs
Leyton Orient
League One postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 33% Doncaster, 29% draw, 38% Leyton Orient — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Doncaster 1.20, Leyton Orient 1.31.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
More League One predictions
Model insights: Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
Has the model earned this number?
Leyton Orient at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
Doncaster
League One
- L1-6away to Milton Keynes Dons31 October 2026
- L1-3away to Luton27 October 2026
- W2-0Sheffield Wednesday24 October 2026
- L0-2Stockport County20 October 2026
- L1-2away to Leicester17 October 2026
Leyton Orient
League One
- W3-0Cambridge United31 October 2026
- L1-2away to Burton Albion24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Reading21 October 2026
- W2-0Blackpool17 October 2026
- D0-0away to Bradford10 October 2026
What these results say
- Doncaster failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Doncaster scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Doncaster conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
- 27 January 2026Doncaster 3–0 Leyton OrientLeague One
- 11 October 2025Leyton Orient 4–0 DoncasterLeague One
- 7 January 2023Leyton Orient 1–0 DoncasterLeague Two
- 8 October 2022Doncaster 1–1 Leyton OrientLeague Two
- 18 March 2017Leyton Orient 1–4 DoncasterLeague Two
- 26 November 2016Doncaster 3–1 Leyton OrientLeague Two
Leading scorers: Doncaster and Leyton Orient
Doncaster
No player in League One's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Leyton Orient
GoalsAssists
- J. Kabia42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Doncaster a 0% chance of the title and Leyton Orient 0.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Doncaster v Leyton Orient has moved
First published on 31 Oct at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 33% / 29% / 38%: the biggest move is Leyton Orient's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Doncaster win33%▼ −4
- Draw29%▼ −1
- Leyton Orient win38%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Leyton Orient the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Doncaster against 1.31 for Leyton Orient. Doncaster's attack/defence rating is 0.47/2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.67 for Leyton Orient.
How the model reaches 38% for Leyton Orient to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Leyton Orient to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Doncaster's ratings add 4 points and Leyton Orient's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Both sides at this match's level30%−1
- Doncaster's ratings34%+4
- Leyton Orient's ratings38%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.