Leicester
vs
Bradford
League One postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 39% Leicester, 31% draw, 30% Bradford — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Leicester 1.20, Bradford 0.97.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
More League One predictions
Model insights: Leicester vs Bradford
Has the model earned this number?
Leicester at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Leicester vs Bradford
Leicester
League One
- D2-2Stevenage31 October 2026
- W3-0Wigan27 October 2026
- L1-2away to Luton24 October 2026
- W4-0away to Bromley20 October 2026
- W2-1Doncaster17 October 2026
Bradford
League One
- L0-3Huddersfield31 October 2026
- D0-0away to Oxford United24 October 2026
- D0-0away to Burton Albion20 October 2026
- W2-0Stevenage17 October 2026
- D0-0Leyton Orient10 October 2026
What these results say
- Leicester scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Leicester had three goals or more.
- Bradford failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bradford failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bradford kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Leading scorers: Leicester and Bradford
Leicester
GoalsAssists
- E. Riis61
Bradford
No player in League One's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Bradford (8th, with Leicester 11th), while our numbers lean to Leicester. Leicester rate 0.65 in attack and 1.87 in defence, Bradford 0.42 and 1.20 (lower is better in defence), so Leicester have been the better side in attack on recent expected goals, which the 3-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Leicester a 0.9% chance of the title and Bradford 1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Leicester v Bradford has moved
First published on 31 Oct at 36% / 32% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 39% / 31% / 30%: the biggest move is Leicester's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Leicester win39%▲ +3
- Draw31%▼ −1
- Bradford win30%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Leicester the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Leicester against 0.97 for Bradford. Leicester's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.42/1.2 for Bradford.
How the model reaches 39% for Leicester to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Leicester to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Leicester's ratings add 2 points and Bradford's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage42%+6
- Both sides at this match's level39%−3
- Leicester's ratings41%+2
- Bradford's ratings39%−2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.