Bromley
vs
Notts County
League One postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 24% Bromley, 26% draw, 50% Notts County — fair odds of 4.17, 3.85 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Bromley 1.02, Notts County 1.74.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
More League One predictions
Model insights: Bromley vs Notts County
Has the model earned this number?
Notts County at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Bromley vs Notts County
Bromley
League One
- L2-3away to Wigan31 October 2026
- L1-4away to Milton Keynes Dons27 October 2026
- D1-1Peterborough24 October 2026
- L0-4Leicester20 October 2026
- L0-1away to Stockport County17 October 2026
Notts County
League One
- W2-0away to Mansfield Town31 October 2026
- D1-1Stockport County24 October 2026
- W2-0Sheffield Wednesday20 October 2026
- L0-2away to Wycombe17 October 2026
- L1-2Oxford United10 October 2026
What these results say
- Bromley did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Bromley conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Notts County scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Notts County had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
| 18 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Bromley vs Notts County
- 14 February 2026Bromley 1–1 Notts CountyLeague Two
- 23 August 2025Notts County 2–2 BromleyLeague Two
- 25 January 2025Notts County 1–1 BromleyLeague Two
- 14 September 2024Bromley 2–4 Notts CountyLeague Two
- 4 March 2023Bromley 1–1 Notts CountyNational League
- 1 November 2022Notts County 1–1 BromleyNational League
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Bromley a 0% chance of the title and Notts County 0.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Notts County the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Bromley against 1.74 for Notts County. Bromley's attack/defence rating is 0.45/2.76 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.48 for Notts County.
How the model reaches 50% for Notts County to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Notts County to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Bromley's ratings add 10 points and Notts County's ratings add 9 points, which lands on the published 50%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Bromley's ratings41%+10
- Notts County's ratings50%+9
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.