Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zemplín Michalovce 1-1 FK Košice.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Zemplín Michalovce, 26% draw, 33% FK Košice — fair odds of 2.44, 3.85 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Zemplín Michalovce at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 16A. Jakubech
- 27M. Curma
- 25L. Pauschek
- 26T. Dzotsenidze
- 12F. Bahi
- 8T. Pilling
- 3M. Koscelnik
- 80B. Cottrell
- 70R. Korba
- 20L. Lemishko
- 99E. Mashike
- 1P. Lukac
- 77Park Tae-rang
- 7K. Brosnan
- 4A. Zubairu
- 22P. Danek
- 13N. Mihhailov
- 9T. Walczak
- 18V. Theofanopoulos
- 11J. Lopez
- 22M. Kira
- 66B. Damjanovic
- 26S. Kosa
- 24D. Kruzliak
- 29O. Kakay
- 6F. Lichy
- 8D. Gallovic
- 23M. Madlenak
- 80K. Palumets
- 77M. Rehus
- 99A. Maras
- 33F. Kalanin
- 21D. Magda
- 47L. Lukacevic
- 10E. Julardzija
- 7M. Dimun
- 15M. Sovic
- 44M. Mateas
- 9T. Seguchi
Form going into Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga
- L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026
FK Košice
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Komárno10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zemplín Michalovce | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 26 | +6 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice
- 28 February 2026Zemplín Michalovce 0–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 19 October 2025FK Košice 3–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 1 March 2025FK Košice 3–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 19 October 2024Zemplín Michalovce 3–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 6 July 2024Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 FK KošiceFriendlies Clubs
- 18 May 2024FK Košice 2–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Zemplín Michalovce and FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
FK Košice
GoalsAssists
- Aleksa Maraš63
- M. Sovič23
- O. Kakay21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zemplín Michalovce and FK Košice drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Zemplín Michalovce at 41% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Maras (penalty) 31' for FK Košice, E. Mashike 35' for Zemplín Michalovce. Sent off: M. Koscelnik (Zemplín Michalovce) 22'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zemplín Michalovce a 11.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 5.2% after a win, 11.8% after a draw, 16.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 11.8%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.
For FK Košice the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 13.3% going in: 18.5% after a win, 12.2% after a draw, 9.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 12.2%, 1.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Zemplín Michalovce v FK Košice has moved
First published on 4 Oct at 40% / 28% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 41% / 26% / 33%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.
- Zemplín Michalovce win41%▲ +1
- Draw26%▼ −2
- FK Košice win33%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.