18 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda Super Liga prediction & result

Referee: P. Ziemba
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Žilina 2-3 Dunajska Streda.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Žilina, 25% draw, 46% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 3.45, 4.00 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dunajska Streda at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Žilina0%Draw4%Dunajska Streda96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
S. Ouro
22'
⚽M. Trusaassist: P. Owusu
32'
Z. Trontelj
33'
K. Nemanic
⚽D. Homet Ruiz
34'
46'
🔁Rhyan Modestoout: B. Csoka
48'
⚽B. Csokaassist: A. Ramadan
⚽K. Bariassist: M. Fasko
51'
53'
J. Bationo
K. Bari
55'
60'
🔁J. Bationoout: F. Diongue
D. Homet Ruiz
64'
67'
🔁P. Owusuout: A. Sylla
🔁D. Homet Ruizout: K. Bilalovic
70'
🔁P. Ilkoout: A. Florea
70'
71'
⚽A. Ramadanassist: F. Diongue
79'
G. Gagua
85'
🔁G. Gaguaout: T. Kacharaba
85'
🔁M. Trusaout: A. Gruber
🔁M. Roginicout: M. Okal
85'
🔁M. Faskoout: F. Kosa
86'
J. Minarik
86'
87'
Filipe
88'
A. Ramadan
90'
A. Sylla

Line-ups

Žilina
  • 31D. Sipos
  • 95M. Roginic
  • 25J. Albin
  • 17J. Minarik
  • 21T. Hranica
  • 66M. Kacer
  • 11F. Bzdyl
  • 20K. Bari
  • 23M. Fasko
  • 90D. Homet Ruiz
  • 16P. Ilko
Substitutes
  • 1J. Badzgon
  • 14M. Svoboda
  • 2M. Okal
  • 19M. Traore
  • 99K. Bilalovic
  • 10A. Florea
  • 6X. Adang
  • 7F. Kosa
  • 9P. Baleja
Coach: Vladimir Vesely
Dunajska Streda
  • 1Filipe
  • 23Z. Trontelj
  • 26F. Blazek
  • 81K. Nemanic
  • 49Rhyan Modesto
  • 17J. Bationo
  • 44S. Ouro
  • 30P. Owusu
  • 29G. Gagua
  • 10A. Ramadan
  • 46M. Trusa
Substitutes
  • 21P. Zivanovic
  • 18S. Jukleroed
  • 33T. Kacharaba
  • 27F. Diongue
  • 16P. Safranko
  • 9A. Gruber
  • 7U. Kabic
  • 40B. Csoka
  • 19A. Sylla
Coach: Robert Klauss

Form going into Žilina vs Dunajska Streda

Žilina

Super Liga

  • D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026

Dunajska Streda

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0away to Zemplín Michalovce10 October 2026
  • D3-3Twente13 August 2026
  • L0-6away to Twente6 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Velež30 July 2026
  • W1-0Velež23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Dunajska Streda scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Dunajska Streda had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Žilina148423727+1028
1Dunajska Streda141220429+3338

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Žilina vs Dunajska Streda

  • 25 April 2026Dunajska Streda 3–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 21 March 2026Žilina 3–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 28 February 2026Žilina 0–0 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 19 October 2025Dunajska Streda 1–2 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 17 May 2025Žilina 0–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
  • 15 March 2025Dunajska Streda 3–1 ŽilinaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Žilina and Dunajska Streda

Žilina

GoalsAssists

  • M. Faško61
  • T. Hranica31
  • D. Homet Ruiz30

Dunajska Streda

GoalsAssists

  • Ammar Ramadan42
  • K. Nemanič21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dunajska Streda won 3–2 at Žilina. The model had made a win for Dunajska Streda its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Trusa 22' for Dunajska Streda, D. Homet Ruiz 34' for Žilina, B. Csoka 48' for Dunajska Streda, K. Bari 51' for Žilina, A. Ramadan 71' for Dunajska Streda.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Žilina a 84.7% chance to finish in the top four: 91.5% after a win, 83.6% after a draw, 81.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 81.0%, 3.7 points lower than before the match.

For Dunajska Streda the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 71.1% going in: 79.8% after a win, 70.4% after a draw, 60.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.8%, 8.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Žilina v Dunajska Streda has moved

First published on 4 Oct at 32% / 27% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 29% / 25% / 46%: the biggest move is Dunajska Streda's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Žilina win29%▼ −3
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Dunajska Streda win46%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.